Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $1.21M POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.3%
Current value: $99.47K
Potential payout: $490K
Potential profit: $390.53K
Multiplier: 4.93x
User PnL: -$145.53K

If you invest $100 $492.61 back +$392.61 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.4%
Current value: $37.05K
Potential payout: $300K
Potential profit: $262.95K
Multiplier: 8.10x
User PnL: $4.2K

If you invest $100 $809.72 back +$709.72 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 79.7%
Current value: $390.53K
Potential payout: $490K
Potential profit: $99.47K
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $145.53K

If you invest $100 $125.47 back +$25.47 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 5:28 AM

PnL: $378.41K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 79.7%
Current value: $390.53K
Potential payout: $490K
Potential profit: $99.47K
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $145.53K

If you invest $100 $125.47 back +$25.47 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.3%
Current value: $99.47K
Potential payout: $490K
Potential profit: $390.53K
Multiplier: 4.93x
User PnL: -$145.53K

If you invest $100 $492.61 back +$392.61 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $173.39K
Volume: $267.16
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Current value: $77.24K
Potential payout: $78.06K
Potential profit: $819.6
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $3.14K

If you invest $100 $101.06 back +$1.06 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.4%
Current value: $37.05K
Potential payout: $300K
Potential profit: $262.95K
Multiplier: 8.10x
User PnL: $4.2K

If you invest $100 $809.72 back +$709.72 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $138.47K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.9%
Current value: $7.6K
Potential payout: $7.85K
Potential profit: $247.17
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $5.26K

If you invest $100 $103.25 back +$3.25 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 94.4%
Current value: $7.44K
Potential payout: $7.88K
Potential profit: $445.47
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $5.03K

If you invest $100 $105.99 back +$5.99 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $130.2K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 96.4%
Current value: $11.18K
Potential payout: $11.6K
Potential profit: $417.59
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $767.49

If you invest $100 $103.73 back +$3.73 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $10.06K
Potential payout: $17.5K
Potential profit: $7.44K
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: -$634.74

If you invest $100 $173.91 back +$73.91 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $94.45K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 32%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $375
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.63K
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$75

If you invest $100 $1.33K back +$1.23K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $240.9
Potential payout: $1.78K
Potential profit: $1.54K
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$44.61

If you invest $100 $740.74 back +$640.74 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $91.97K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $38.23K
Potential payout: $45K
Potential profit: $6.77K
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $15.73K

If you invest $100 $117.72 back +$17.72 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $31.37K
Potential payout: $31.45K
Potential profit: $78.61
User PnL: $232.54

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $88.62K
Volume: $55.93K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $2.19K
Potential payout: $4.38M
Potential profit: $4.38M
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$70.86K

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $2.19K
Potential payout: $4.38M
Potential profit: $4.38M
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$70.86K

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $43.04K
Volume: $2.92K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $3.18K
Potential payout: $3.21K
Potential profit: $28.92
User PnL: $1.67K

If you invest $100 $100.91 back +$0.91 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $2.77K
Potential payout: $2.79K
Potential profit: $22.36
User PnL: $111.45

If you invest $100 $100.81 back +$0.81 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $37.86K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Yoon out of custody before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81.4%
Current value: $1.76K
Potential payout: $2.17K
Potential profit: $403.46
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$110.54

If you invest $100 $122.87 back +$22.87 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.3%
Current value: $462.49
Potential payout: $512.17
Potential profit: $49.68
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $5.63

If you invest $100 $110.74 back +$10.74 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $37.53K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Netanyahu out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $19.9K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: $300

If you invest $100 $100.5 back +$0.5 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19.8%
Current value: $9.87K
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $40.12K
Multiplier: 5.06x
User PnL: -$7.05K

If you invest $100 $506.33 back +$406.33 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $33.55K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $1.09K
Potential payout: $3.57K
Potential profit: $2.48K
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: $91.45

If you invest $100 $327.87 back +$227.87 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $680.31
Potential payout: $925.59
Potential profit: $245.28
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $227.97

If you invest $100 $136.05 back +$36.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $33.5K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $40.35K
Potential payout: $47.5K
Potential profit: $7.15K
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $16.6K

If you invest $100 $117.72 back +$17.72 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.1%
Current value: $7.15K
Potential payout: $47.5K
Potential profit: $40.35K
Multiplier: 6.64x
User PnL: -$16.6K

If you invest $100 $664.45 back +$564.45 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $40.35K
Potential payout: $47.5K
Potential profit: $7.15K
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $16.6K

If you invest $100 $117.72 back +$17.72 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.4%
Current value: $37.05K
Potential payout: $300K
Potential profit: $262.95K
Multiplier: 8.10x
User PnL: $4.2K

If you invest $100 $809.72 back +$709.72 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $33.05K
Potential payout: $57.49K
Potential profit: $24.43K
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $5.35K

If you invest $100 $173.91 back +$73.91 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 96.5%
Current value: $28.8K
Potential payout: $29.86K
Potential profit: $1.06K
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$3.73

If you invest $100 $103.68 back +$3.68 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 96.4%
Current value: $11.18K
Potential payout: $11.6K
Potential profit: $417.59
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $767.49

If you invest $100 $103.73 back +$3.73 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $10.06K
Potential payout: $17.5K
Potential profit: $7.44K
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: -$634.74

If you invest $100 $173.91 back +$73.91 estimated profit if it wins

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