Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $30.19K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $28.26K
Potential payout: $2.09M
Potential profit: $2.06M
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: $10.16K

If you invest $100 $7.41K back +$7.31K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $31.29K
Potential payout: $1.53M
Potential profit: $1.5M
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$2.15K

If you invest $100 $4.88K back +$4.78K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $43.92K
Potential payout: $1.31M
Potential profit: $1.27M
Multiplier: 29.85x
User PnL: $9.55K

If you invest $100 $2.99K back +$2.89K estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 7:16 AM

PnL: $8.06K
Volume: $57.15K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 79.7%
Current value: $79.65K
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $20.35K
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $29.65K

If you invest $100 $125.55 back +$25.55 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.3%
Current value: $20.34K
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $79.66K
Multiplier: 4.92x
User PnL: -$29.66K

If you invest $100 $491.64 back +$391.64 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.62K
Volume: $27.88K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $391.04K
Potential payout: $392.41K
Potential profit: $1.37K
User PnL: $5.65K

If you invest $100 $100.35 back +$0.35 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $324.94K
Potential payout: $343.85K
Potential profit: $18.91K
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $28.01K

If you invest $100 $105.82 back +$5.82 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.21K
Volume: $235.01
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $27.81K
Potential payout: $31.07K
Potential profit: $3.26K
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $5.8K

If you invest $100 $111.73 back +$11.73 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $26.32K
Potential payout: $29.74K
Potential profit: $3.42K
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $4.61K

If you invest $100 $112.99 back +$12.99 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.51K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 74%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $236.8K
Potential payout: $250.59K
Potential profit: $13.78K
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $42.9K

If you invest $100 $105.82 back +$5.82 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $89.19K
Potential profit: $89.19K
User PnL: -$1.75K

PnL: $2.4K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $268.16K
Potential payout: $350.54K
Potential profit: $82.38K
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $89.3K

If you invest $100 $130.72 back +$30.72 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $232.18K
Potential payout: $245.69K
Potential profit: $13.51K
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $58.19K

If you invest $100 $105.82 back +$5.82 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.36K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $159.41K
Potential payout: $236.16K
Potential profit: $76.75K
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $41.98K

If you invest $100 $148.15 back +$48.15 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 39.4%
Current value: $23.59K
Potential payout: $59.96K
Potential profit: $36.37K
Multiplier: 2.54x
User PnL: $762.34

If you invest $100 $254.13 back +$154.13 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.85K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $167.55K
Potential payout: $183.11K
Potential profit: $15.56K
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $54.81K

If you invest $100 $109.29 back +$9.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $77.91K
Potential payout: $87.05K
Potential profit: $9.14K
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $25.4K

If you invest $100 $111.73 back +$11.73 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.82K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 41.2%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $10.13K
Potential payout: $11.45K
Potential profit: $1.32K
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $1.77K

If you invest $100 $112.99 back +$12.99 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.2%
Current value: $2.39K
Potential payout: $2.49K
Potential profit: $94.51
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $108.58

If you invest $100 $103.95 back +$3.95 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.76K
Volume: $22.42K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 83%
Current value: $5.55K
Potential payout: $6.69K
Potential profit: $1.14K
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $361.08

If you invest $100 $120.48 back +$20.48 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Republican Party win the CA-06 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 95.4%
Current value: $3.86K
Potential payout: $4.05K
Potential profit: $186.17
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $54.7

If you invest $100 $104.82 back +$4.82 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.6K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $116.5K
Potential payout: $192.57K
Potential profit: $76.06K
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $28.89K

If you invest $100 $165.29 back +$65.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $94.17K
Potential payout: $94.22K
Potential profit: $47.11
User PnL: $11.16K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.4K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $31.29K
Potential payout: $1.53M
Potential profit: $1.5M
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$2.15K

If you invest $100 $4.88K back +$4.78K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $28.26K
Potential payout: $2.09M
Potential profit: $2.06M
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: $10.16K

If you invest $100 $7.41K back +$7.31K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.39K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 60.7%
Current value: $121.3K
Potential payout: $200K
Potential profit: $78.7K
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $21.3K

If you invest $100 $164.88 back +$64.88 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 39.4%
Current value: $78.7K
Potential payout: $200K
Potential profit: $121.3K
Multiplier: 2.54x
User PnL: -$21.3K

If you invest $100 $254.13 back +$154.13 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $159.41K
Potential payout: $236.16K
Potential profit: $76.75K
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $41.98K

If you invest $100 $148.15 back +$48.15 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 60.7%
Current value: $121.3K
Potential payout: $200K
Potential profit: $78.7K
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $21.3K

If you invest $100 $164.88 back +$64.88 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $116.5K
Potential payout: $192.57K
Potential profit: $76.06K
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $28.89K

If you invest $100 $165.29 back +$65.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 79.7%
Current value: $79.65K
Potential payout: $100K
Potential profit: $20.35K
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $29.65K

If you invest $100 $125.55 back +$25.55 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 39.4%
Current value: $78.7K
Potential payout: $200K
Potential profit: $121.3K
Multiplier: 2.54x
User PnL: -$21.3K

If you invest $100 $254.13 back +$154.13 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $77.91K
Potential payout: $87.05K
Potential profit: $9.14K
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $25.4K

If you invest $100 $111.73 back +$11.73 estimated profit if it wins

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