Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.4%
- Current value
- $100.16K
- Potential payout
- $490K
- Potential profit
- $389.84K
- Multiplier
- 4.89x
- User PnL
- -$144.84K
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $1.38M POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted
Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $37.35K
- Potential payout
- $300K
- Potential profit
- $262.65K
- Multiplier
- 8.03x
- User PnL
- $4.5K
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.6%
- Current value
- $389.8K
- Potential payout
- $490K
- Potential profit
- $100.21K
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $144.8K
Top Traders
POLITICS leaderboard
Rank #1
Arbguy
0x53e5...6177 Public
- PnL
- $379.37K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.6%
- Current value
- $389.8K
- Potential payout
- $490K
- Potential profit
- $100.21K
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $144.8K
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.4%
- Current value
- $100.16K
- Potential payout
- $490K
- Potential profit
- $389.84K
- Multiplier
- 4.89x
- User PnL
- -$144.84K
Rank #2
Flipadelphia
0x4488...e319 Public
- PnL
- $173.43K
- Volume
- $44.79
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $77.08K
- Potential payout
- $77.89K
- Potential profit
- $817.88
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $3.14K
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $37.35K
- Potential payout
- $300K
- Potential profit
- $262.65K
- Multiplier
- 8.03x
- User PnL
- $4.5K
Rank #3
Gohst
0x2d4b...ca7a Public
- PnL
- $138.5K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Current value
- $7.6K
- Potential payout
- $7.85K
- Potential profit
- $247.17
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $5.26K
No position
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.4%
- Current value
- $7.44K
- Potential payout
- $7.88K
- Potential profit
- $445.47
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $5.03K
Rank #4
Warren-Buffett
0x4478...02a4 Public
- PnL
- $130.33K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $10.96K
- Potential payout
- $11.6K
- Potential profit
- $637.99
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $547.1
Yes position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $10.06K
- Potential payout
- $17.5K
- Potential profit
- $7.44K
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$634.74
Rank #5
RWCS
0x4ab9...8ebe Public
- PnL
- $102.27K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
Yes position
[Single Market] Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Sep 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $1.01K
- User PnL
- -$300
No position
[Single Market] Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Sep 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54.89K
- Potential profit
- $54.89K
- User PnL
- -$25K
Rank #6
AvrahamEisenberg - 10161
0x6c3a...c459 Public
- PnL
- $100.29K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Ethereum switch to Proof-of-Stake (EIP-3675) by February 22, 2022?
Ends Feb 22, 2022- Implied probability
- 4.4%
- Current value
- $25.07
- Potential payout
- $574.96
- Potential profit
- $549.89
- Multiplier
- 22.94x
- User PnL
- -$174.93
No position
Will 3 or more of Dan Ariely’s papers be retracted by December 31, 2021?
Ends Dec 31, 2021- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.43
- Potential payout
- $2.43
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.1
Rank #7
BwTrump
0x01d1...12a4 Public
- PnL
- $94.45K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 32%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $425
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.58K
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $258.75
- Potential payout
- $1.78K
- Potential profit
- $1.53K
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$26.77
Rank #8
GollumGekko
0x0845...6b6f Public @GollumGekko1
- PnL
- $91.91K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 84.8%
- Current value
- $38.16K
- Potential payout
- $45K
- Potential profit
- $6.84K
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $15.66K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $31.37K
- Potential payout
- $31.45K
- Potential profit
- $78.61
- User PnL
- $232.54
Rank #9
0xa8cf...031f
0xa8cf...031f Public
- PnL
- $85.55K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #10
alwayslatetotheparty
0xb687...aee5 Public
- PnL
- $85.41K
- Volume
- $2.09K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $2.19K
- Potential payout
- $4.38M
- Potential profit
- $4.38M
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$70.86K
Yes position
Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $2.19K
- Potential payout
- $4.38M
- Potential profit
- $4.38M
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$70.86K
Rank #11
Poyo
0x3d8a...5724 Public
- PnL
- $50.77K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $94.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $5.5
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $3.5
No position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 92.9%
- Current value
- $83.57
- Potential payout
- $90
- Potential profit
- $6.44
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$1.84
Rank #12
0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495
0xc7d0...1f8a Public
- PnL
- $42.9K
- Volume
- $1.13K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $3.19K
- Potential payout
- $3.21K
- Potential profit
- $20.89
- User PnL
- $1.68K
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $2.77K
- Potential payout
- $2.79K
- Potential profit
- $22.36
- User PnL
- $111.45
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
No position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 84.8%
- Current value
- $38.16K
- Potential payout
- $45K
- Potential profit
- $6.84K
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $15.66K
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $37.35K
- Potential payout
- $300K
- Potential profit
- $262.65K
- Multiplier
- 8.03x
- User PnL
- $4.5K
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $33.05K
- Potential payout
- $57.49K
- Potential profit
- $24.43K
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $5.35K
No position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $28.8K
- Potential payout
- $29.86K
- Potential profit
- $1.06K
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$3.73
Yes position
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $10.96K
- Potential payout
- $11.6K
- Potential profit
- $637.99
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $547.1
Yes position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $10.06K
- Potential payout
- $17.5K
- Potential profit
- $7.44K
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$634.74
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