Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $1.22M POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

Grid view List view

Partial data Some leaderboard sections are delayed, but available rows are shown.

Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.2%
Current value: $98.74K
Potential payout: $490K
Potential profit: $391.27K
Multiplier: 4.96x
User PnL: -$146.27K

If you invest $100 $496.28 back +$396.28 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 79.9%
Current value: $391.27K
Potential payout: $490K
Potential profit: $98.74K
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $146.27K

If you invest $100 $125.23 back +$25.23 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.1%
Current value: $7.15K
Potential payout: $47.5K
Potential profit: $40.35K
Multiplier: 6.64x
User PnL: -$16.6K

If you invest $100 $664.45 back +$564.45 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 3:05 PM

PnL: $374.32K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 79.9%
Current value: $391.27K
Potential payout: $490K
Potential profit: $98.74K
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $146.27K

If you invest $100 $125.23 back +$25.23 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.2%
Current value: $98.74K
Potential payout: $490K
Potential profit: $391.27K
Multiplier: 4.96x
User PnL: -$146.27K

If you invest $100 $496.28 back +$396.28 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $173.8K
Volume: $2.72K
Open positions: 0

PnL: $138.3K
Volume: $0
Open positions: 0

PnL: $128.64K
Volume: $19.67K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $19.65K
Potential payout: $19.7K
Potential profit: $49.25
User PnL: $1.2K

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $10.24K
Potential payout: $17.5K
Potential profit: $7.26K
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: -$459.74

If you invest $100 $170.94 back +$70.94 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $96.63K
Volume: $301.89K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $9.98K
Potential payout: $12.48K
Potential profit: $2.5K
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $3.74K

If you invest $100 $125.08 back +$25.08 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.4%
Current value: $3.84K
Potential payout: $3.95K
Potential profit: $104.63
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $1.87K

If you invest $100 $102.72 back +$2.72 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $94.31K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 32%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $325
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.68K
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$125

If you invest $100 $1.54K back +$1.44K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $223.06
Potential payout: $1.78K
Potential profit: $1.56K
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$62.45

If you invest $100 $800 back +$700 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $91.72K
Volume: $20.32K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $33.94K
Potential payout: $37.5K
Potential profit: $3.56K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $487.65

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $31.37K
Potential payout: $31.45K
Potential profit: $78.61
User PnL: $232.54

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $43.56K
Volume: $7.91K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $3.18K
Potential payout: $3.21K
Potential profit: $35.35
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.67K

If you invest $100 $101.11 back +$1.11 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $2.77K
Potential payout: $2.79K
Potential profit: $22.36
User PnL: $111.45

If you invest $100 $100.81 back +$0.81 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $37.97K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Yoon out of custody before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $1.89K
Potential payout: $2.17K
Potential profit: $282.92
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $10

If you invest $100 $115.01 back +$15.01 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 89.6%
Current value: $458.91
Potential payout: $512.17
Potential profit: $53.27
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $2.05

If you invest $100 $111.61 back +$11.61 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $37.52K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Netanyahu out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $19.9K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: $300

If you invest $100 $100.5 back +$0.5 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20.1%
Current value: $10.02K
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $39.97K
Multiplier: 4.99x
User PnL: -$6.9K

If you invest $100 $498.75 back +$398.75 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $33.76K
Volume: $1.89K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $1.16K
Potential payout: $3.57K
Potential profit: $2.41K
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: $162.9

If you invest $100 $307.69 back +$207.69 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 72%
Current value: $666.42
Potential payout: $925.59
Potential profit: $259.17
Multiplier: 1.39x
User PnL: $214.09

If you invest $100 $138.89 back +$38.89 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $33.5K
Volume: $0
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $40.35K
Potential payout: $47.5K
Potential profit: $7.15K
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $16.6K

If you invest $100 $117.72 back +$17.72 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.1%
Current value: $7.15K
Potential payout: $47.5K
Potential profit: $40.35K
Multiplier: 6.64x
User PnL: -$16.6K

If you invest $100 $664.45 back +$564.45 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $33.94K
Potential payout: $37.5K
Potential profit: $3.56K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $487.65

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $31.9K
Potential payout: $57.49K
Potential profit: $25.58K
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $4.2K

If you invest $100 $180.18 back +$80.18 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $24.04K
Potential payout: $24.9K
Potential profit: $858.96
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $21.79

If you invest $100 $103.57 back +$3.57 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $10.24K
Potential payout: $17.5K
Potential profit: $7.26K
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: -$459.74

If you invest $100 $170.94 back +$70.94 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20.1%
Current value: $10.02K
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $39.97K
Multiplier: 4.99x
User PnL: -$6.9K

If you invest $100 $498.75 back +$398.75 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $9.98K
Potential payout: $12.48K
Potential profit: $2.5K
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $3.74K

If you invest $100 $125.08 back +$25.08 estimated profit if it wins

Market Context

Live markets traders may be watching

Browse all markets

Market context is temporarily unavailable

Trader intelligence is still available above.