Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $1.22M POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.3%
Current value: $99.23K
Potential payout: $490K
Potential profit: $390.78K
Multiplier: 4.94x
User PnL: -$145.78K

If you invest $100 $493.83 back +$393.83 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $37.35K
Potential payout: $300K
Potential profit: $262.65K
Multiplier: 8.03x
User PnL: $4.5K

If you invest $100 $803.21 back +$703.21 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 79.8%
Current value: $390.78K
Potential payout: $490K
Potential profit: $99.23K
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $145.78K

If you invest $100 $125.39 back +$25.39 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 9:36 PM

PnL: $374.24K
Volume: $70K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 79.8%
Current value: $390.78K
Potential payout: $490K
Potential profit: $99.23K
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $145.78K

If you invest $100 $125.39 back +$25.39 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.3%
Current value: $99.23K
Potential payout: $490K
Potential profit: $390.78K
Multiplier: 4.94x
User PnL: -$145.78K

If you invest $100 $493.83 back +$393.83 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $173.6K
Volume: $2.72K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $78.75K
Potential payout: $79.75K
Potential profit: $996.87
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $2.98K

If you invest $100 $101.27 back +$1.27 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $37.35K
Potential payout: $300K
Potential profit: $262.65K
Multiplier: 8.03x
User PnL: $4.5K

If you invest $100 $803.21 back +$703.21 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $137.61K
Volume: $1.47K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97%
Current value: $7.61K
Potential payout: $7.85K
Potential profit: $239.33
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $5.27K

If you invest $100 $103.15 back +$3.15 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 94.6%
Current value: $7.46K
Potential payout: $7.88K
Potential profit: $425.76
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $5.05K

If you invest $100 $105.71 back +$5.71 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $128.55K
Volume: $25.57K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $10.41K
Potential payout: $17.5K
Potential profit: $7.09K
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: -$284.74

If you invest $100 $168.07 back +$68.07 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.8%
Current value: $6.84K
Potential payout: $7K
Potential profit: $157.5
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1.74K

If you invest $100 $102.3 back +$2.3 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $99.94K
Volume: $389.32K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.3%
Current value: $8.22K
Potential payout: $8.45K
Potential profit: $232.51
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $3.99K

If you invest $100 $102.83 back +$2.83 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $2.24K
Potential payout: $3.97K
Potential profit: $1.73K
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $257.49

If you invest $100 $177.02 back +$77.02 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $94.29K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 32%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $325
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.68K
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$125

If you invest $100 $1.54K back +$1.44K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $205.21
Potential payout: $1.78K
Potential profit: $1.58K
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$80.3

If you invest $100 $869.57 back +$769.57 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $91.79K
Volume: $30.71K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $38.35K
Potential payout: $38.45K
Potential profit: $96.11
User PnL: $236.05

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $33.94K
Potential payout: $37.5K
Potential profit: $3.56K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $487.65

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $45.4K
Volume: $21.1K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $3.2K
Potential payout: $3.21K
Potential profit: $16.07
User PnL: $1.69K

If you invest $100 $100.5 back +$0.5 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.2%
Current value: $2.77K
Potential payout: $2.79K
Potential profit: $23.76
User PnL: $110.05

If you invest $100 $100.86 back +$0.86 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $38.01K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Yoon out of custody before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.6%
Current value: $1.9K
Potential payout: $2.17K
Potential profit: $268.83
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $24.09

If you invest $100 $114.16 back +$14.16 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.9%
Current value: $480.67
Potential payout: $512.17
Potential profit: $31.5
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $23.82

If you invest $100 $106.55 back +$6.55 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $37.47K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Netanyahu out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $19.91K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $90
User PnL: $310

If you invest $100 $100.45 back +$0.45 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20.4%
Current value: $10.22K
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $39.78K
Multiplier: 4.89x
User PnL: -$6.71K

If you invest $100 $489.24 back +$389.24 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $33.77K
Volume: $3.78K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 32%
Current value: $1.14K
Potential payout: $3.57K
Potential profit: $2.43K
Multiplier: 3.13x
User PnL: $145.04

If you invest $100 $312.5 back +$212.5 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $689.56
Potential payout: $925.59
Potential profit: $236.03
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $237.23

If you invest $100 $134.23 back +$34.23 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $33.49K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $40.59K
Potential payout: $47.5K
Potential profit: $6.91K
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $16.84K

If you invest $100 $117.03 back +$17.03 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 14.6%
Current value: $6.91K
Potential payout: $47.5K
Potential profit: $40.59K
Multiplier: 6.87x
User PnL: -$16.84K

If you invest $100 $687.29 back +$587.29 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $40.59K
Potential payout: $47.5K
Potential profit: $6.91K
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $16.84K

If you invest $100 $117.03 back +$17.03 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $37.35K
Potential payout: $300K
Potential profit: $262.65K
Multiplier: 8.03x
User PnL: $4.5K

If you invest $100 $803.21 back +$703.21 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $33.94K
Potential payout: $37.5K
Potential profit: $3.56K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $487.65

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $31.9K
Potential payout: $57.49K
Potential profit: $25.58K
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $4.2K

If you invest $100 $180.18 back +$80.18 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $24.04K
Potential payout: $24.9K
Potential profit: $858.96
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $21.79

If you invest $100 $103.57 back +$3.57 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $10.41K
Potential payout: $17.5K
Potential profit: $7.09K
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: -$284.74

If you invest $100 $168.07 back +$68.07 estimated profit if it wins

Market Context

Live markets traders may be watching

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Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?

Yes5.9% No94.1%

Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?

Yes4.6% No95.5%

Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?

Yes27.6% No72.4%

Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Yes16.5% No83.5%

Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?

Yes6.2% No93.9%

Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?

Yes12% No88%