No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.42K
- Potential profit
- $23.42K
- User PnL
- -$13.13K
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $21.2K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted
Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.9%
- Current value
- $329.69
- Potential payout
- $5.64K
- Potential profit
- $5.31K
- Multiplier
- 17.09x
- User PnL
- $131.43
Y
Yes position
Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $73.64
- Potential payout
- $1.23K
- Potential profit
- $1.15K
- Multiplier
- 16.67x
- User PnL
- -$137.45
Top Traders
POLITICS leaderboard
Rank #13
idfinsider0228
0x2b76...edef Public
- PnL
- $2.56K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #14
timmythewhale
0x6000...f302 Public
- PnL
- $2.42K
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 3
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $14.9K
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $5.1K
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $100
No position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.8%
- Current value
- $10.46K
- Potential payout
- $11.92K
- Potential profit
- $1.46K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $531.37
Rank #15
65765757
0x2974...9c23 Public
- PnL
- $2.22K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.8K
- Potential profit
- $8.8K
- User PnL
- -$7.32K
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.35K
- Potential profit
- $1.35K
- User PnL
- -$966.6
Rank #16
Miracle007
0x4728...6426 Public
- PnL
- $2.18K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $1.53K
- Potential payout
- $1.54K
- Potential profit
- $16.2
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $138.09
No position
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $898.94
- Potential payout
- $1.56K
- Potential profit
- $664.43
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$132.89
Rank #17
makinta
0xc15b...38af Public
- PnL
- $2.1K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 56%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #18
truefish31
0x811b...7006 Public
- PnL
- $2.04K
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #19
donthackme
0x0380...073d Public
- PnL
- $2.02K
- Volume
- $30.48K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $1.14K
- Potential payout
- $1.14K
- Potential profit
- $5.13
- User PnL
- -$1.71
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $1.11K
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $44.37
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1.07K
Rank #20
pilimili
0xd104...acef Public
- PnL
- $1.92K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 1
Over position
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.82K
- Potential profit
- $14.82K
- User PnL
- -$7.71K
Rank #21
0xAE7FcEb5828Ad56356283188B505939D057F31c9-1768585935728
0xae7f...31c9 Public
- PnL
- $1.88K
- Volume
- $590.71
- Win rate
- 26.7%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #22
Erasmus.
0xc658...b784 Public
- PnL
- $1.85K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?
Ends Jul 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$4.2K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.43K
- Potential profit
- $2.43K
- User PnL
- -$656.39
Rank #23
coali10
0x7bc1...8db4 Public
- PnL
- $1.79K
- Volume
- $7.9
- Win rate
- 24.2%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $404.51
- Potential payout
- $637.03
- Potential profit
- $232.52
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $3.64
Yes position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.3%
- Current value
- $149.61
- Potential payout
- $1.22K
- Potential profit
- $1.07K
- Multiplier
- 8.16x
- User PnL
- $27.28
Rank #24
GollumGekko
0x0845...6b6f Public @GollumGekko1
- PnL
- $1.78K
- Volume
- $42.88K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $3.95K
- Potential payout
- $3.98K
- Potential profit
- $29.83
- User PnL
- $593.1
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $3.88K
- Potential payout
- $3.89K
- Potential profit
- $9.71
- User PnL
- $167.12
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
Yes position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $3.65K
- Potential payout
- $4.62K
- Potential profit
- $970.58
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $228.45
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $1.53K
- Potential payout
- $1.54K
- Potential profit
- $16.2
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $138.09
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $1.11K
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $44.37
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1.07K
Yes position
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.2%
- Current value
- $1.1K
- Potential payout
- $1.93K
- Potential profit
- $825.81
- Multiplier
- 1.75x
- User PnL
- $1.04K
No position
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $898.94
- Potential payout
- $1.56K
- Potential profit
- $664.43
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$132.89
No position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $404.51
- Potential payout
- $637.03
- Potential profit
- $232.52
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $3.64
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