Yes position
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.37K
- Potential payout
- $2.73M
- Potential profit
- $2.73M
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$44.19K
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $143.11K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
Yes position
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $8.93K
- Potential payout
- $776.94K
- Potential profit
- $768.01K
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- $1.94K
Yes position
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $49.95
- Potential payout
- $33.3K
- Potential profit
- $33.25K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$990.68
Top Traders
POLITICS leaderboard
Rank #13
alwayslatetotheparty
0xb687...aee5 Public
- PnL
- $17.25K
- Volume
- $251.86K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.37K
- Potential payout
- $2.73M
- Potential profit
- $2.73M
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$44.19K
Yes position
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $1.04K
- Potential payout
- $230.92K
- Potential profit
- $229.88K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$2.81K
Rank #14
timmythewhale
0x6000...f302 Public
- PnL
- $16.45K
- Volume
- $19.17K
- Open positions
- 3
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$5.97K
No position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $999.91
- Potential profit
- $999.91
- User PnL
- -$58.99
Rank #15
RememberAmalek
0x6139...6b7a Public
- PnL
- $15.37K
- Volume
- $39.74K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $9.54K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $455
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $445
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $9.36K
- Potential payout
- $17.5K
- Potential profit
- $8.14K
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- -$251.43
Rank #16
0xfcb034ffesa540c89ad3732182f6e0c762feac86
0x17ed...c087 Public
- PnL
- $15.35K
- Volume
- $31.37K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $285
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $2.72K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $15
Yes position
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $275.27
- Potential payout
- $966.19
- Potential profit
- $690.92
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- -$72.56
Rank #17
0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50A
0xa3a4...5106 Public
- PnL
- $15.12K
- Volume
- $486.84K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $49.95
- Potential payout
- $33.3K
- Potential profit
- $33.25K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$990.68
Yes position
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $49.5
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $2.95K
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- $26.06
Rank #18
makinta
0xc15b...38af Public
- PnL
- $13.42K
- Volume
- $53.09K
- Win rate
- 69.2%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #19
tutrucks
0xce71...83bc Public
- PnL
- $12.88K
- Volume
- $24.45K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
Yes position
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $8.44
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $1.29K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$108.43
Yes position
Will Victoria Villarruel win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
Ends Oct 24, 2027- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.66
- Potential payout
- $147.56
- Potential profit
- $146.89
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.81
Rank #20
Logan.
0x5109...5e9c Public
- PnL
- $12.8K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 23.9%
- Current value
- $789.18
- Potential payout
- $3.31K
- Potential profit
- $2.52K
- Multiplier
- 4.19x
- User PnL
- $599.89
No position
Insurrection Act invoked by June 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $778.03
- Potential payout
- $792.69
- Potential profit
- $14.66
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $88.39
Rank #21
SecondWindCapital
0x8c80...02c3 Public
- PnL
- $12.3K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 72.7%
- Open positions
- 3
Curtis Blaydes position
UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $147.62K
- Potential profit
- $147.62K
- User PnL
- -$73.81K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.24K
- Potential profit
- $10.24K
- User PnL
- -$1.33K
Rank #22
Phantom69
0x6e4b...3c6d Public
- PnL
- $12.17K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 84%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #23
ranger44
0x3355...a126 Public
- PnL
- $11.66K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 64.3%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #24
paddaa
0x60a9...5a71 Public @Impij25
- PnL
- $11.15K
- Volume
- $65K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $2.9K
- Potential payout
- $3.04K
- Potential profit
- $136.74
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $544.17
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.2%
- Current value
- $2.86K
- Potential payout
- $21.75K
- Potential profit
- $18.89K
- Multiplier
- 7.60x
- User PnL
- -$1.48K
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
No position
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $2.9K
- Potential payout
- $3.04K
- Potential profit
- $136.74
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $544.17
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.2%
- Current value
- $2.86K
- Potential payout
- $21.75K
- Potential profit
- $18.89K
- Multiplier
- 7.60x
- User PnL
- -$1.48K
No position
Will Steve Bannon be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $2.76K
- Potential payout
- $2.79K
- Potential profit
- $34.91
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $490.55
Yes position
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.37K
- Potential payout
- $2.73M
- Potential profit
- $2.73M
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$44.19K
Yes position
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $1.04K
- Potential payout
- $230.92K
- Potential profit
- $229.88K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$2.81K
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 38.1%
- Current value
- $935.74
- Potential payout
- $2.46K
- Potential profit
- $1.52K
- Multiplier
- 2.63x
- User PnL
- -$293.88
Market Context
Live markets traders may be watching
Market Soccer Live
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jul 20, 2026
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes6.7% No93.4%
Market Soccer Live
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jul 20, 2026
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes5.9% No94.2%
Market Soccer Live
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jul 20, 2026
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes18.5% No81.6%
Market Soccer Live
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jul 20, 2026
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes3.7% No96.4%
Market Soccer Live
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jul 20, 2026
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes12.9% No87.2%
Market Soccer Live
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jul 20, 2026
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes2.5% No97.6%
Market Soccer Live
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jul 20, 2026
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes13.7% No86.4%
Market Soccer Live
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jul 20, 2026
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes7.4% No92.7%
Market Soccer Live
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jul 20, 2026
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes11.8% No88.3%
Market Soccer Live
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jul 20, 2026
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes1.5% No98.6%