Yes position
Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be less than 5?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $5.1
- Potential payout
- $268.52
- Potential profit
- $263.42
- Multiplier
- 52.63x
- User PnL
- -$37.75
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $14.01K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
No position
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.1m barrels per day in 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2027- Implied probability
- 4.8%
- Current value
- $5.21
- Potential payout
- $109.63
- Potential profit
- $104.42
- Multiplier
- 21.05x
- User PnL
- -$12.33
Yes position
Will SBF launch a coin by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.47K
- Potential profit
- $3.47K
- User PnL
- -$66.23
Top Traders
POLITICS leaderboard
Rank #133
Arbguy
0x53e5...6177 Public
- PnL
- $1.47K
- Volume
- $353
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #134
Tigerofthehood
0x9c26...74bc Public
- PnL
- $1.45K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #135
zb8
0x0224...292a Public @zb8zb9
- PnL
- $1.44K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $677.7
- Potential profit
- $677.7
- User PnL
- -$196.75
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in May 2026?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$0.76
Rank #136
0xa0f2...1848
0xa0f2...1848 Public
- PnL
- $1.42K
- Volume
- $791
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #137
apple-pi
0xaf23...aa95 Public
- PnL
- $1.41K
- Volume
- $5.05K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #138
pup1
0x54b5...4b31 Public
- PnL
- $1.41K
- Volume
- $38.45K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #139
Gohst
0x2d4b...ca7a Public
- PnL
- $1.39K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $5.41
- Potential payout
- $6.8
- Potential profit
- $1.39
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $3.23
No position
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.1m barrels per day in 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2027- Implied probability
- 4.8%
- Current value
- $5.21
- Potential payout
- $109.63
- Potential profit
- $104.42
- Multiplier
- 21.05x
- User PnL
- -$12.33
Rank #140
BigRabbit
0xeb22...808a Public @BigRabbit_poly
- PnL
- $1.34K
- Volume
- $7.18K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #141
0xCf46f45cE63f56201B8952B6B9Af2bEb572804cc-1760082884757
0x83f1...1936 Public
- PnL
- $1.34K
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #142
SleeperHunter
0x606f...1083 Public
- PnL
- $1.34K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 16%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #143
tgrdy
0x33e0...7d46 Public
- PnL
- $1.34K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #144
FridayNight
0xfa32...bd9a Public @FridayNtrades
- PnL
- $1.32K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Elon Musk change his X profile picture by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $399.99
- Potential profit
- $399.99
- User PnL
- -$219.99
Yes position
Will SBF launch a coin by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.47K
- Potential profit
- $3.47K
- User PnL
- -$66.23
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in May 2026?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$0.76
No position
Will Elon Musk change his X profile picture by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $399.99
- Potential profit
- $399.99
- User PnL
- -$219.99
No position
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $677.7
- Potential profit
- $677.7
- User PnL
- -$196.75
Yes position
Will Rangers win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.96K
- Potential profit
- $2.96K
- User PnL
- -$49.36
Yes position
Will SBF launch a coin by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.47K
- Potential profit
- $3.47K
- User PnL
- -$66.23
No position
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $799.99
- Potential profit
- $799.99
- User PnL
- -$679.99
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