Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $45.23
- Potential payout
- $18.09K
- Potential profit
- $18.05K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$695.26
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $16.95K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted
Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
Yes position
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $58.05
- Potential payout
- $1.68K
- Potential profit
- $1.62K
- Multiplier
- 28.99x
- User PnL
- -$4.21
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $933.3
- Potential payout
- $4.15K
- Potential profit
- $3.21K
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$126.38
Top Traders
POLITICS leaderboard
Rank #37
881112
0xd426...334a Public
- PnL
- $1.99K
- Volume
- $2.29K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
N
No position
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $990.22
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $14.06
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $302.2
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $933.3
- Potential payout
- $4.15K
- Potential profit
- $3.21K
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$126.38
Rank #38
kohalacoastgabe
0x63e3...f341 Public
- PnL
- $1.88K
- Volume
- $10.78K
- Win rate
- 66%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $328.9
- Potential profit
- $328.9
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $106.38
- Potential profit
- $106.38
- User PnL
- -$50
Rank #39
0x1F85EB9C455c5BDEF5D96C2739076678c7157B02-1778811447702
0x1f85...7b02 Public
- PnL
- $1.84K
- Volume
- $271.91
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 47%
- Current value
- $5.21
- Potential payout
- $11.09
- Potential profit
- $5.88
- Multiplier
- 2.13x
- User PnL
- $5.21
No position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $5.13
- Potential payout
- $15.32
- Potential profit
- $10.18
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- $5.13
Rank #40
BigBusinessPro
0x71b5...1231 Public
- PnL
- $1.81K
- Volume
- $184.9K
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #41
scottilicious
0x000d...758e Public @scottonPoly
- PnL
- $1.68K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $199.5
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $0.5
- User PnL
- $35.5
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $84.93
- Potential payout
- $112.49
- Potential profit
- $27.56
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $12.94
Rank #42
Huludubu
0xe738...df65 Public
- PnL
- $1.65K
- Volume
- $16.89K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18%
- Current value
- $56
- Potential payout
- $311.1
- Potential profit
- $255.1
- Multiplier
- 5.56x
- User PnL
- $28
No position
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $48.85
- Potential payout
- $49
- Potential profit
- $0.15
- User PnL
- $4.26
Rank #43
Aeglos
0xb665...bf8f Public
- PnL
- $1.62K
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #44
cambridgeisaac
0xb51b...b4d9 Public
- PnL
- $1.54K
- Volume
- $6.21K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $609.37
- Potential payout
- $1.62K
- Potential profit
- $1.02K
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- -$143.4
No position
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $576.2
- Potential payout
- $596.17
- Potential profit
- $19.97
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $221.99
Rank #45
0x7e30e0D7E58061953247e08293fe08D5fE02E8f5-1772852632088
0x7e30...e8f5 Public
- PnL
- $1.47K
- Volume
- $4.98K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #46
Warren-Buffett
0x4478...02a4 Public
- PnL
- $1.47K
- Volume
- $19.07K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
N
No position
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $1.3K
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $1.96
- User PnL
- $37.71
N
No position
Will Steve Witkoff attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $1.28K
- Potential payout
- $1.34K
- Potential profit
- $60.4
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $27.05
Rank #47
GCottrell93
0x94a4...6356 Public
- PnL
- $1.47K
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #48
archaic
0x1f0a...f7aa Public @archaic_on_Poly
- PnL
- $1.39K
- Volume
- $13.35K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $1.16K
- Potential payout
- $1.33K
- Potential profit
- $165.91
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $59.53
No position
UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Current value
- $1.07K
- Potential payout
- $1.12K
- Potential profit
- $43.56
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $4.85
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
No position
UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Current value
- $1.07K
- Potential payout
- $1.12K
- Potential profit
- $43.56
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $4.85
No position
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $1.06K
- Potential payout
- $1.15K
- Potential profit
- $86.29
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $25.69
N
No position
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $990.22
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $14.06
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $302.2
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $933.3
- Potential payout
- $4.15K
- Potential profit
- $3.21K
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$126.38
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $609.37
- Potential payout
- $1.62K
- Potential profit
- $1.02K
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- -$143.4
No position
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $576.2
- Potential payout
- $596.17
- Potential profit
- $19.97
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $221.99
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