Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $16.36K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $21.25
Potential payout: $8.5K
Potential profit: $8.48K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$1.03K

If you invest $100 $40K back +$39.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $58.05
Potential payout: $1.68K
Potential profit: $1.62K
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: -$4.21

If you invest $100 $2.9K back +$2.8K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $598.39
Potential payout: $2.78K
Potential profit: $2.18K
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$567.33

If you invest $100 $465.12 back +$365.12 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 2:22 PM

PnL: $1.85K
Volume: $10.78K
Win rate: 66%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $328.9
Potential profit: $328.9
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $106.38
Potential profit: $106.38
User PnL: -$50

PnL: $1.84K
Volume: $186.99K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

JD Vance out as VP by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $23.13K
Potential payout: $25K
Potential profit: $1.88K
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $125

If you invest $100 $108.11 back +$8.11 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $23.04K
Potential payout: $23.13K
Potential profit: $92.52
User PnL: $121.51

If you invest $100 $100.4 back +$0.4 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.74K
Volume: $6.49K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $598.39
Potential payout: $2.78K
Potential profit: $2.18K
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$567.33

If you invest $100 $465.12 back +$365.12 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $576.87
Potential payout: $1.62K
Potential profit: $1.05K
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: -$175.9

If you invest $100 $281.69 back +$181.69 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.69K
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

PnL: $1.63K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $199.5
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $0.5
User PnL: $35.5

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 76%
Current value: $85.49
Potential payout: $112.49
Potential profit: $27
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $13.5

If you invest $100 $131.58 back +$31.58 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.62K
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

PnL: $1.53K
Volume: $7.63K
Win rate: 78%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Israel or the US target Tehran?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$96

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 6, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.3K
Potential profit: $6.3K
User PnL: -$100.8

PnL: $1.52K
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

PnL: $1.49K
Volume: $6.37K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $1.45K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 4.5%
Open positions: 1

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $21.25
Potential payout: $8.5K
Potential profit: $8.48K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$1.03K

If you invest $100 $40K back +$39.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.4K
Volume: $9.76K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $3.07K
Potential payout: $3.53K
Potential profit: $458.49
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $118.17

If you invest $100 $114.94 back +$14.94 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $2.8K
Potential payout: $3.09K
Potential profit: $293.43
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $305.29

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $1.36K
Volume: $3.28K
Open positions: 1

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $2.8K
Potential payout: $3.09K
Potential profit: $293.43
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $305.29

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $2.5K
Potential payout: $3.07K
Potential profit: $567.62
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $167.59

If you invest $100 $122.71 back +$22.71 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $598.39
Potential payout: $2.78K
Potential profit: $2.18K
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$567.33

If you invest $100 $465.12 back +$365.12 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $576.87
Potential payout: $1.62K
Potential profit: $1.05K
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: -$175.9

If you invest $100 $281.69 back +$181.69 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.7%
Current value: $576.2
Potential payout: $596.17
Potential profit: $19.97
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $221.99

If you invest $100 $103.47 back +$3.47 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 76%
Current value: $85.49
Potential payout: $112.49
Potential profit: $27
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $13.5

If you invest $100 $131.58 back +$31.58 estimated profit if it wins

Market Context

Live markets traders may be watching

Browse all markets

Wimbledon ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Ben Shelton Set 1 O/U 8.5Wimbledon ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Ben Shelton Set 3 Winner Jul 6, 2026

Wimbledon ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Ben Shelton Set 1 O/U 8.5 Virtanen vs. Shelton: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5

Yes100% No0%

Wimbledon ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Ben Shelton Set 3 Winner Set 3 Winner: Virtanen vs Shelton

Yes0% No100%

Wimbledon ATP: Ugo Humbert vs Zizou BergsWimbledon ATP: Ugo Humbert vs Zizou Bergs Match O/U 40.5 Jul 6, 2026

Wimbledon ATP: Ugo Humbert vs Zizou Bergs

Yes27% No73%

Wimbledon ATP: Ugo Humbert vs Zizou Bergs Match O/U 40.5 Humbert vs. Bergs: Match O/U 40.5

Yes52.5% No47.5%

Wimbledon WTA: Taylor Townsend vs Iga SwiatekWimbledon WTA: Taylor Townsend vs Iga Swiatek Set 1 Winner Jul 6, 2026

Wimbledon WTA: Taylor Townsend vs Iga Swiatek

Yes24.5% No75.5%

Wimbledon WTA: Taylor Townsend vs Iga Swiatek Set 1 Winner Set 1 Winner: Townsend vs Swiatek

Yes0% No100%

Wimbledon ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Toby Samuel Set 1 WinnerWimbledon ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Toby Samuel Total Sets: O/U 3.5 Jul 6, 2026

Wimbledon ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Toby Samuel Set 1 Winner Set 1 Winner: Mensik vs Samuel

Yes0.1% No100%

Wimbledon ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Toby Samuel Total Sets: O/U 3.5 Jakub Mensik vs. Toby Samuel: Total Sets O/U 3.5

Yes61% No39%

Wimbledon WTA: Veronika Erjavec vs Leolia Jeanjean Set 1 WinnerWimbledon WTA: Veronika Erjavec vs Leolia Jeanjean Set 1 O/U 8.5 Jul 6, 2026

Wimbledon WTA: Veronika Erjavec vs Leolia Jeanjean Set 1 Winner Set 1 Winner: Erjavec vs Jeanjean

Yes8.5% No91.5%

Wimbledon WTA: Veronika Erjavec vs Leolia Jeanjean Set 1 O/U 8.5 Erjavec vs. Jeanjean: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5

Yes50% No50%

Wimbledon ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Billy Harris Set 2 WinnerWimbledon ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Billy Harris Total Sets: O/U 4.5 Jul 6, 2026

Wimbledon ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Billy Harris Set 2 Winner Set 2 Winner: Khachanov vs Harris

Yes19.5% No80.5%

Wimbledon ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Billy Harris Total Sets: O/U 4.5 Karen Khachanov vs. Billy Harris: Total Sets O/U 4.5

Yes35% No65%

Wimbledon WTA: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Anna Blinkova Set 1 WinnerWimbledon WTA: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Anna Blinkova Set 1 O/U 8.5 Jul 6, 2026

Wimbledon WTA: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Anna Blinkova Set 1 Winner Set 1 Winner: Starodubtseva vs Blinkova

Yes79.5% No20.5%

Wimbledon WTA: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Anna Blinkova Set 1 O/U 8.5 Starodubtseva vs. Blinkova: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5

Yes50% No50%