Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $1.87K TECH · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

Grid view List view

Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $25.39K
Potential payout: $153.89K
Potential profit: $128.5K
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: $2.99K

If you invest $100 $606.06 back +$506.06 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Iran full airspace closure by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $16.78K
Potential payout: $86.71K
Potential profit: $69.93K
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: $1.35K

If you invest $100 $516.8 back +$416.8 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Iran full airspace closure by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 27%
Current value: $8.07K
Potential payout: $29.9K
Potential profit: $21.82K
Multiplier: 3.70x
User PnL: $956.1

If you invest $100 $370.37 back +$270.37 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

TECH leaderboard

Updated 2:24 AM

PnL: $431.45
Volume: $5.23K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $6.9K
Potential payout: $8.67K
Potential profit: $1.78K
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $2.38K

If you invest $100 $125.79 back +$25.79 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Doug Mason win The Bachelorette Season 22?

Ends Nov 30, 2026

Implied probability: 69.3%
Current value: $1.31K
Potential payout: $1.89K
Potential profit: $578.98
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $562.68

If you invest $100 $144.32 back +$44.32 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $292.66
Volume: $499.69
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.6%
Current value: $4.87K
Potential payout: $5.5K
Potential profit: $627
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $479.53

If you invest $100 $112.87 back +$12.87 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $1.13K
Potential payout: $1.14K
Potential profit: $14.82
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $861.06

If you invest $100 $101.32 back +$1.32 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $199.63
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $18.78K
Potential payout: $20.75K
Potential profit: $1.97K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $2.28K

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $16.27K
Potential payout: $16.51K
Potential profit: $239.43
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $2.75K

If you invest $100 $101.47 back +$1.47 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $169.07
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $1.22K
Potential payout: $1.34K
Potential profit: $113.6
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $27.92

If you invest $100 $109.29 back +$9.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $1.19K
Potential payout: $1.93K
Potential profit: $744.52
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $367.22

If you invest $100 $162.6 back +$62.6 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $166.71
Volume: $2.03K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $11.21K
Potential payout: $11.37K
Potential profit: $159.23
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $2.33K

If you invest $100 $101.42 back +$1.42 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $11.09K
Potential payout: $13.87K
Potential profit: $2.78K
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: -$41.59

If you invest $100 $125.08 back +$25.08 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $165.5
Volume: $59
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $25.39K
Potential payout: $153.89K
Potential profit: $128.5K
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: $2.99K

If you invest $100 $606.06 back +$506.06 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Iran full airspace closure by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $16.78K
Potential payout: $86.71K
Potential profit: $69.93K
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: $1.35K

If you invest $100 $516.8 back +$416.8 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $122.83
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.7%
Current value: $9.01K
Potential payout: $10.4K
Potential profit: $1.39K
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: -$328.14

If you invest $100 $115.41 back +$15.41 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $5.37K
Potential payout: $7.11K
Potential profit: $1.74K
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: -$69.05

If you invest $100 $132.45 back +$32.45 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $109.69
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $38.73K
Potential payout: $58.24K
Potential profit: $19.51K
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $2.19K

If you invest $100 $150.38 back +$50.38 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $2.18K
Potential payout: $13.22K
Potential profit: $11.04K
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$1.29K

If you invest $100 $606.06 back +$506.06 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $108.01
Volume: $1.18K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.2K
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $0.6
User PnL: $1.11K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $809.7
Potential payout: $993.62
Potential profit: $183.92
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $522.73

If you invest $100 $122.71 back +$22.71 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $100.1
Volume: $0
Win rate: 75%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 24, 2026?

Ends Jul 24, 2026

Implied probability: 34%
Current value: $283.63
Potential payout: $834.2
Potential profit: $550.57
Multiplier: 2.94x
User PnL: -$124.18

If you invest $100 $294.12 back +$194.12 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.91K
Potential profit: $6.91K
User PnL: -$200

PnL: $100.03
Volume: $0
Win rate: 82%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.6%
Current value: $1.02K
Potential payout: $22.22K
Potential profit: $21.2K
Multiplier: 21.74x
User PnL: $22.22

If you invest $100 $2.17K back +$2.07K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $967.15
Potential payout: $6.67K
Potential profit: $5.7K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$33.35

If you invest $100 $689.66 back +$589.66 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $88.59
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 71%
Current value: $213
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $87
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: $36

If you invest $100 $140.85 back +$40.85 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $142
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $258
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: -$86

If you invest $100 $281.69 back +$181.69 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Iran full airspace closure by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 19.4%
Current value: $16.78K
Potential payout: $86.71K
Potential profit: $69.93K
Multiplier: 5.17x
User PnL: $1.35K

If you invest $100 $516.8 back +$416.8 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $16.27K
Potential payout: $16.51K
Potential profit: $239.43
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $2.75K

If you invest $100 $101.47 back +$1.47 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $11.09K
Potential payout: $13.87K
Potential profit: $2.78K
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: -$41.59

If you invest $100 $125.08 back +$25.08 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82.6%
Current value: $10.47K
Potential payout: $12.68K
Potential profit: $2.21K
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $1.26K

If you invest $100 $121.07 back +$21.07 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.7%
Current value: $9.01K
Potential payout: $10.4K
Potential profit: $1.39K
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: -$328.14

If you invest $100 $115.41 back +$15.41 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Iran full airspace closure by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 27%
Current value: $8.07K
Potential payout: $29.9K
Potential profit: $21.82K
Multiplier: 3.70x
User PnL: $956.1

If you invest $100 $370.37 back +$270.37 estimated profit if it wins

Market Context

Live markets traders may be watching

Browse all markets

Market context is temporarily unavailable

Trader intelligence is still available above.