Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $3.42K TECH · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $25.39K
Potential payout: $153.89K
Potential profit: $128.5K
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: $2.99K

If you invest $100 $606.06 back +$506.06 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Iran full airspace closure by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 17.4%
Current value: $15.04K
Potential payout: $86.23K
Potential profit: $71.19K
Multiplier: 5.73x
User PnL: -$313.01

If you invest $100 $573.39 back +$473.39 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Iran full airspace closure by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $6.82K
Potential payout: $30.3K
Potential profit: $23.48K
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: -$395.21

If you invest $100 $444.44 back +$344.44 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

TECH leaderboard

Updated 3:30 AM

PnL: $669.83
Volume: $7.67K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $6.89K
Potential payout: $8.67K
Potential profit: $1.78K
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $2.38K

If you invest $100 $125.79 back +$25.79 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 49%
Current value: $1.61K
Potential payout: $3.28K
Potential profit: $1.67K
Multiplier: 2.04x
User PnL: -$11.18

If you invest $100 $204.08 back +$104.08 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $614.56
Volume: $2.54K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $11.29K
Potential payout: $11.37K
Potential profit: $79.61
User PnL: $2.41K

If you invest $100 $100.7 back +$0.7 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $11.09K
Potential payout: $13.87K
Potential profit: $2.78K
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: -$41.59

If you invest $100 $125.08 back +$25.08 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $572.08
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $18.78K
Potential payout: $20.75K
Potential profit: $1.97K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $2.28K

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $16.4K
Potential payout: $16.51K
Potential profit: $115.58
User PnL: $2.88K

If you invest $100 $100.7 back +$0.7 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $345.69
Volume: $499.69
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.6%
Current value: $4.87K
Potential payout: $5.5K
Potential profit: $627
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $479.53

If you invest $100 $112.87 back +$12.87 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $1.13K
Potential payout: $1.14K
Potential profit: $14.25
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $861.63

If you invest $100 $101.27 back +$1.27 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $271.62
Volume: $501.85
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $1.22K
Potential payout: $1.34K
Potential profit: $113.6
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $27.92

If you invest $100 $109.29 back +$9.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $1.19K
Potential payout: $1.93K
Potential profit: $744.52
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $367.22

If you invest $100 $162.6 back +$62.6 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $252.01
Volume: $59
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $25.39K
Potential payout: $153.89K
Potential profit: $128.5K
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: $2.99K

If you invest $100 $606.06 back +$506.06 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Iran full airspace closure by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 17.4%
Current value: $15.04K
Potential payout: $86.23K
Potential profit: $71.19K
Multiplier: 5.73x
User PnL: -$313.01

If you invest $100 $573.39 back +$473.39 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $223.11
Volume: $624.23
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $14.98K
Potential payout: $19.84K
Potential profit: $4.86K
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $2.12K

If you invest $100 $132.45 back +$32.45 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $14.29K
Potential payout: $25.74K
Potential profit: $11.45K
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: -$2.42K

If you invest $100 $180.18 back +$80.18 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $221.13
Volume: $0
Win rate: 86%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $12.37K
Potential payout: $12.52K
Potential profit: $150.23
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $736.21

If you invest $100 $101.21 back +$1.21 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US military draft authorized in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.9%
Current value: $2.5K
Potential payout: $2.63K
Potential profit: $135.6
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $345.35

If you invest $100 $105.43 back +$5.43 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $146.1
Volume: $2.01K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $9.62K
Potential payout: $10.4K
Potential profit: $779.63
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $279.97

If you invest $100 $108.11 back +$8.11 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $5.23K
Potential payout: $7.11K
Potential profit: $1.89K
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: -$211.34

If you invest $100 $136.05 back +$36.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $100.59
Volume: $1.73K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $6.91K
Potential payout: $6.99K
Potential profit: $83.91
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $45.78

If you invest $100 $101.21 back +$1.21 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 96.9%
Current value: $931.88
Potential payout: $962.19
Potential profit: $30.31
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $99.38

If you invest $100 $103.25 back +$3.25 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $92.26
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 62%
Current value: $186
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $114
Multiplier: 1.61x
User PnL: $9

If you invest $100 $161.29 back +$61.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 36%
Current value: $144
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $256
Multiplier: 2.78x
User PnL: -$84

If you invest $100 $277.78 back +$177.78 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $88.85
Volume: $0
Win rate: 42.9%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $4.52K
Potential payout: $4.56K
Potential profit: $31.89
User PnL: $924.5

If you invest $100 $100.7 back +$0.7 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.22K
Potential profit: $4.22K
User PnL: -$633

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $14.98K
Potential payout: $19.84K
Potential profit: $4.86K
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $2.12K

If you invest $100 $132.45 back +$32.45 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $14.29K
Potential payout: $25.74K
Potential profit: $11.45K
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: -$2.42K

If you invest $100 $180.18 back +$80.18 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $12.37K
Potential payout: $12.52K
Potential profit: $150.23
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $736.21

If you invest $100 $101.21 back +$1.21 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $11.09K
Potential payout: $13.87K
Potential profit: $2.78K
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: -$41.59

If you invest $100 $125.08 back +$25.08 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.1%
Current value: $10.53K
Potential payout: $12.68K
Potential profit: $2.14K
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $1.32K

If you invest $100 $120.34 back +$20.34 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $9.62K
Potential payout: $10.4K
Potential profit: $779.63
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $279.97

If you invest $100 $108.11 back +$8.11 estimated profit if it wins

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