Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $1.9K TECH · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $33.87
Potential payout: $3.76K
Potential profit: $3.73K
Multiplier: 111.11x
User PnL: -$500.99

If you invest $100 $11.11K back +$11.01K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $38.47
Potential payout: $854.99
Potential profit: $816.52
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$286.42

If you invest $100 $2.22K back +$2.12K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $246.39
Potential payout: $3.5K
Potential profit: $3.25K
Multiplier: 14.20x
User PnL: -$1.35

If you invest $100 $1.42K back +$1.32K estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

TECH leaderboard

Updated 3:54 PM

PnL: $239.31
Volume: $12.89K
Win rate: 40%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $232.43
Volume: $5.63K
Win rate: 64%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.21K
Potential profit: $3.21K
User PnL: -$323.43

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 6, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.91K
Potential profit: $2.91K
User PnL: -$28.78

PnL: $217.66
Volume: $505.05
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $990.34
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $5.01K
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$595.65

If you invest $100 $606.06 back +$506.06 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 14.1%
Current value: $766.49
Potential payout: $5.42K
Potential profit: $4.65K
Multiplier: 7.07x
User PnL: $332.5

If you invest $100 $707.21 back +$607.21 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $209.45
Volume: $1.05K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $246.39
Potential payout: $3.5K
Potential profit: $3.25K
Multiplier: 14.20x
User PnL: -$1.35

If you invest $100 $1.42K back +$1.32K estimated profit if it wins

No position

Christopher Luxon out by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $224.4
Potential payout: $264
Potential profit: $39.6
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $154.86

If you invest $100 $117.65 back +$17.65 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $188.95
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $174.34
Volume: $5.75K
Win rate: 40%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$2.1

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.16K
Potential profit: $1.16K
User PnL: -$41.5

PnL: $161.19
Volume: $36.58K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.4%
Current value: $900.87
Potential payout: $935
Potential profit: $34.13
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $38.62

If you invest $100 $103.79 back +$3.79 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $722.14
Potential payout: $830.05
Potential profit: $107.91
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $13.74

If you invest $100 $114.94 back +$14.94 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $160.56
Volume: $97.58
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.3%
Current value: $198.51
Potential payout: $1.94K
Potential profit: $1.74K
Multiplier: 9.76x
User PnL: -$35.27

If you invest $100 $975.61 back +$875.61 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will 175-199 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 18%
Current value: $190.03
Potential payout: $1.06K
Potential profit: $865.67
Multiplier: 5.56x
User PnL: -$9.97

If you invest $100 $555.56 back +$455.56 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $160.26
Volume: $353.18
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Onekeeper be the brand of gloves worn by the Golden Glove winner at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 13.3%
Current value: $8.78
Potential payout: $66
Potential profit: $57.22
Multiplier: 7.52x
User PnL: $6.72

If you invest $100 $751.88 back +$651.88 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Khamzat Chimaev be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $8.09
Potential payout: $46.25
Potential profit: $38.16
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: $5.66

If you invest $100 $571.43 back +$471.43 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $155.53
Volume: $1.83K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Frits Biesterbos win the White Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?

Ends Aug 9, 2026

Implied probability: 30.6%
Current value: $13.44
Potential payout: $44
Potential profit: $30.56
Multiplier: 3.27x
User PnL: $12.68

If you invest $100 $327.33 back +$227.33 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Lorenzo Germani win the White Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?

Ends Aug 9, 2026

Implied probability: 30.6%
Current value: $13.44
Potential payout: $44
Potential profit: $30.56
Multiplier: 3.27x
User PnL: $12.68

If you invest $100 $327.33 back +$227.33 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $151.86
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $39.27
Potential payout: $413.4
Potential profit: $374.13
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$25.47

If you invest $100 $1.05K back +$952.63 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $38.47
Potential payout: $854.99
Potential profit: $816.52
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$286.42

If you invest $100 $2.22K back +$2.12K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $148.01
Volume: $2.22K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $2.92K
Potential payout: $7.77K
Potential profit: $4.86K
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: $94.85

If you invest $100 $266.67 back +$166.67 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 39.7%
Current value: $2.84K
Potential payout: $7.17K
Potential profit: $4.33K
Multiplier: 2.52x
User PnL: $1.62K

If you invest $100 $252.21 back +$152.21 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $990.34
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $5.01K
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$595.65

If you invest $100 $606.06 back +$506.06 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.4%
Current value: $900.87
Potential payout: $935
Potential profit: $34.13
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $38.62

If you invest $100 $103.79 back +$3.79 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 14.1%
Current value: $766.49
Potential payout: $5.42K
Potential profit: $4.65K
Multiplier: 7.07x
User PnL: $332.5

If you invest $100 $707.21 back +$607.21 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the next Grok model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1450 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $726
Potential payout: $825
Potential profit: $99
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$15.77

If you invest $100 $113.64 back +$13.64 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $722.14
Potential payout: $830.05
Potential profit: $107.91
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $13.74

If you invest $100 $114.94 back +$14.94 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $700
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $100
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $84

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

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