Yes position
Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $23.1
- Potential payout
- $6.6K
- Potential profit
- $6.58K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$96.89
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $651.18 TECH · DAY · PnL sorted
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $13
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.99K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$9
Yes position
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $15.62
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.23K
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- $2.13
Top Traders
TECH leaderboard
Rank #25
libratus1
0x28b2...eb4f Public
- PnL
- $75.26
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.2%
- Current value
- $339.23
- Potential payout
- $384.62
- Potential profit
- $45.39
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $40.6
No position
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 73%
- Current value
- $314.91
- Potential payout
- $431.38
- Potential profit
- $116.47
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- $33.12
Rank #26
cozygo
0xdb23...c959 Public
- PnL
- $73.5
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 77.3%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #27
daddypapi
0x6748...151b Public
- PnL
- $70.42
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #28
avp15
0x309b...02a0 Public
- PnL
- $67.67
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #29
elviktor
0x81c0...3fa5 Public
- PnL
- $67.42
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #30
Hiworld.
0x4f23...90db Public
- PnL
- $67.37
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Aleksandr Logunov win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $26.79
- Potential payout
- $38.55
- Potential profit
- $11.76
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- -$6.63
Yes position
Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $23.1
- Potential payout
- $6.6K
- Potential profit
- $6.58K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$96.89
Rank #31
Trustinghorse
0x92a6...8b84 Public
- PnL
- $61.89
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #32
iForgor
0x0562...9d66 Public @iForgor_PM
- PnL
- $60
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $32
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.97K
- Multiplier
- 62.50x
- User PnL
- -$103
Yes position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $24.6
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.18K
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- -$10.8
Rank #33
JAMJAMJAM4
0xe8c4...395d Public
- PnL
- $57.23
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $1.12K
- Potential payout
- $1.14K
- Potential profit
- $19.93
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $162.31
Yes position
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $1.1K
- Potential payout
- $1.74K
- Potential profit
- $634.37
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- -$112.97
Rank #34
rocky42025
0x8929...733e Public
- PnL
- $50.43
- Volume
- $230.91
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $15.62
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.23K
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- $2.13
Yes position
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 90% by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.1%
- Current value
- $14.85
- Potential payout
- $291.71
- Potential profit
- $276.86
- Multiplier
- 19.65x
- User PnL
- -$2.31
Rank #35
ZhangMuZhisDaddy
0xc126...832c Public
- PnL
- $50.27
- Volume
- $50.27K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen win the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.83K
- Potential profit
- $1.83K
- User PnL
- -$15.09
Yes position
Will Johnny Keefer win the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.83K
- Potential profit
- $1.83K
- User PnL
- -$15.09
Rank #36
Campsite
0x468f...c2a7 Public
- PnL
- $48.82
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.2%
- Current value
- $339.23
- Potential payout
- $384.62
- Potential profit
- $45.39
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $40.6
No position
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 73%
- Current value
- $314.91
- Potential payout
- $431.38
- Potential profit
- $116.47
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- $33.12
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Current value
- $298.61
- Potential payout
- $310.73
- Potential profit
- $12.12
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $10.68
Yes position
Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $32
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.97K
- Multiplier
- 62.50x
- User PnL
- -$103
No position
Will Aleksandr Logunov win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $26.79
- Potential payout
- $38.55
- Potential profit
- $11.76
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- -$6.63
Yes position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $24.6
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.18K
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- -$10.8
Market Context
Live markets traders may be watching
Market Live
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Yes65.5% No34.5%
Market Live
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Yes11.5% No88.5%
Market Live
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?
Yes36% No64%
Market Live
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027?
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027?
Yes4% No96%
Market Live
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027?
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027?
Yes4.7% No95.4%
Market Live
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027?
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.25% or higher before 2027?
Yes2.7% No97.4%
Market Live
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?
Yes24.5% No75.6%
Market Live
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027?
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027?
Yes4.5% No95.5%
Market Live
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Yes81.3% No18.8%
Market Live
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027?
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027?
Yes4.9% No95.2%
Market Live
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?
Yes13% No87%
Market Live
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?
Yes4.5% No95.6%