Yes position
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $46.25
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.45K
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- -$1.2K
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $978.77 TECH · DAY · PnL sorted
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
Yes position
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $36.11
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.47K
- Multiplier
- 41.67x
- User PnL
- -$58.21
Yes position
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $1.27K
- Potential payout
- $9.07K
- Potential profit
- $7.8K
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$865.77
Top Traders
TECH leaderboard
Rank #25
0xe617...f251
0xe617...f251 Public
- PnL
- $113.33
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
China coup attempt before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $30.74
- Potential payout
- $31.95
- Potential profit
- $1.21
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.74
No position
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $29.84
- Potential payout
- $31.91
- Potential profit
- $2.07
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
Rank #26
George.Smiley
0x2110...5850 Public
- PnL
- $110.43
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $46.25
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.45K
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- -$1.2K
Yes position
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Current value
- $36.11
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.47K
- Multiplier
- 41.67x
- User PnL
- -$58.21
Rank #27
avp15
0x309b...02a0 Public
- PnL
- $106.34
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #28
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
0xc8ab...6418 Public @Eltonma
- PnL
- $105.73
- Volume
- $1.1K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
N
No position
Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $11.64K
- Potential payout
- $12.13K
- Potential profit
- $485.03
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $264.27
No position
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.9%
- Current value
- $10.4K
- Potential payout
- $12.71K
- Potential profit
- $2.31K
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- -$1.39K
Rank #29
Dios777
0x808d...ebfd Public @Dios_7778
- PnL
- $103.85
- Volume
- $2.45K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #30
HerrieDavis
0xac4a...bf1e Public
- PnL
- $98.85
- Volume
- $1.41K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $1.27K
- Potential payout
- $9.07K
- Potential profit
- $7.8K
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$865.77
No position
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.6%
- Current value
- $1.21K
- Potential payout
- $1.35K
- Potential profit
- $141.22
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $158.37
Rank #31
RIC25
0x09e6...24a1 Public
- PnL
- $87.41
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Current value
- $21.14
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $24.32
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- $1.14
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-06-26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $20.94
- Potential payout
- $37.74
- Potential profit
- $16.79
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- $0.94
Rank #32
daddypapi
0x6748...151b Public
- PnL
- $86.49
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #33
corsur4
0x5c0a...a2c3 Public @Claypppp
- PnL
- $86.2
- Volume
- $1.14K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #34
Linslav
0x3594...dc58 Public
- PnL
- $80.13
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 88%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
TrumpRX launched by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $214.94
- Potential profit
- $214.94
- User PnL
- -$99.92
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.95K
- Potential profit
- $1.95K
- User PnL
- -$300
Rank #35
elviktor
0x81c0...3fa5 Public
- PnL
- $79.9
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #36
libratus1
0x28b2...eb4f Public
- PnL
- $77.94
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $346.13
- Potential payout
- $355
- Potential profit
- $8.88
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $16.03
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.4%
- Current value
- $339.81
- Potential payout
- $384.62
- Potential profit
- $44.81
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $41.18
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
Yes position
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $1.27K
- Potential payout
- $9.07K
- Potential profit
- $7.8K
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$865.77
No position
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.6%
- Current value
- $1.21K
- Potential payout
- $1.35K
- Potential profit
- $141.22
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $158.37
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $1.21K
- Potential payout
- $7.32K
- Potential profit
- $6.11K
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- $94.58
No position
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $346.13
- Potential payout
- $355
- Potential profit
- $8.88
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $16.03
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.4%
- Current value
- $339.81
- Potential payout
- $384.62
- Potential profit
- $44.81
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $41.18
No position
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 73%
- Current value
- $314.91
- Potential payout
- $431.38
- Potential profit
- $116.47
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- $33.12
Market Context
Live markets traders may be watching
Market UFC Live
Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Dec 31, 2026
Will Arman Tsarukyan be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
Yes20.1% No80%
Market Live
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be below 0%?
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be below 0%?
Yes28% No72%
Market Live
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?
Yes3.9% No96.2%
Market Live
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?
Yes11.5% No88.5%
Market Live
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
Yes14% No86%
Market Live
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
Yes92.5% No7.5%
Market Live
Yoon out of custody before 2027?
Yoon out of custody before 2027?
Yes11.3% No88.7%
Market Live
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
Yes1.4% No98.7%
Market Inflation Live
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 4.0% and 4.4%?
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 4.0% and 4.4%? Jan 20, 2027
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 4.0% and 4.4%?
Yes12% No88%
Market Live
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?
Yes33% No67%
Market Live
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Yes63.5% No36.5%
Market Inflation Live
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%? Jan 20, 2027
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?
Yes16.5% No83.5%