Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $333.14 TECH · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $8.67
Potential payout: $1.24K
Potential profit: $1.23K
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$83.9

If you invest $100 $14.29K back +$14.19K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $4.6
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $195.4
Multiplier: 43.48x
User PnL: -$11.89

If you invest $100 $4.35K back +$4.25K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $4.24
Potential payout: $121
Potential profit: $116.77
Multiplier: 28.57x
User PnL: -$3.09

If you invest $100 $2.86K back +$2.76K estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

TECH leaderboard

Updated 2:20 AM

PnL: $38.6
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

PnL: $36.72
Volume: $215.69
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $14.11
Potential payout: $14.18
Potential profit: $0.07
User PnL: $0.24

If you invest $100 $100.5 back +$0.5 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $11.25
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $238.75
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$23.75

If you invest $100 $2.22K back +$2.12K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $35
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

PnL: $34.58
Volume: $0
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 9PM ET

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 7?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$16.01

PnL: $34.3
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Phoenix Suns win the 2027 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $2.36
Potential payout: $248.1
Potential profit: $245.74
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: $1.61

If you invest $100 $10.53K back +$10.43K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Ottawa Senators be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $2.18
Potential payout: $140.56
Potential profit: $138.38
Multiplier: 64.52x
User PnL: $0.22

If you invest $100 $6.45K back +$6.35K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $32.5
Volume: $149.99
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $30.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $69.5
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$15.5

If you invest $100 $327.87 back +$227.87 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $23.25
Potential payout: $149.99
Potential profit: $126.74
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$3.75

If you invest $100 $645.16 back +$545.16 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $31.94
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 42.7%
Current value: $78.47
Potential payout: $183.98
Potential profit: $105.51
Multiplier: 2.34x
User PnL: -$36.95

If you invest $100 $234.47 back +$134.47 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $77.02
Potential payout: $85.1
Potential profit: $8.08
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $0.43

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $30.59
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Conor McGregor position

UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $670
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.33K
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: -$30

If you invest $100 $298.51 back +$198.51 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will 4+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 95%
Current value: $661.02
Potential payout: $695.81
Potential profit: $34.79
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $95.79

If you invest $100 $105.26 back +$5.26 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $29.62
Volume: $1.8K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $230.62
Potential payout: $279.54
Potential profit: $48.92
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $17.41

If you invest $100 $121.21 back +$21.21 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $222.53
Potential payout: $1.94K
Potential profit: $1.71K
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $77.32

If you invest $100 $869.57 back +$769.57 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $29.29
Volume: $0
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $8.67
Potential payout: $1.24K
Potential profit: $1.23K
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: -$83.9

If you invest $100 $14.29K back +$14.19K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $4.6
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $195.4
Multiplier: 43.48x
User PnL: -$11.89

If you invest $100 $4.35K back +$4.25K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $28.52
Volume: $3.43K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.13K
Potential profit: $1.13K
User PnL: -$292.98

No position

Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $968.89
Potential profit: $968.89
User PnL: -$92.09

PnL: $27.11
Volume: $0
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 1

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $230.62
Potential payout: $279.54
Potential profit: $48.92
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $17.41

If you invest $100 $121.21 back +$21.21 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $222.53
Potential payout: $1.94K
Potential profit: $1.71K
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $77.32

If you invest $100 $869.57 back +$769.57 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Trump deport 500-600k people?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 22.8%
Current value: $222.06
Potential payout: $976.08
Potential profit: $754.02
Multiplier: 4.40x
User PnL: $122.66

If you invest $100 $439.56 back +$339.56 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 42.7%
Current value: $78.47
Potential payout: $183.98
Potential profit: $105.51
Multiplier: 2.34x
User PnL: -$36.95

If you invest $100 $234.47 back +$134.47 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $77.02
Potential payout: $85.1
Potential profit: $8.08
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $0.43

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $41.39
Potential payout: $64.17
Potential profit: $22.78
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: -$12.51

If you invest $100 $155.04 back +$55.04 estimated profit if it wins

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