Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 16.7%
- Current value
- $1.67M
- Potential payout
- $10.03M
- Potential profit
- $8.35M
- Multiplier
- 5.99x
- User PnL
- -$3.34M
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $189.21K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 83.3%
- Current value
- $8.35M
- Potential payout
- $10.03M
- Potential profit
- $1.67M
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $3.34M
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.8%
- Current value
- $27.5K
- Potential payout
- $200K
- Potential profit
- $172.5K
- Multiplier
- 7.27x
- User PnL
- -$4.8K
Top Traders
POLITICS leaderboard
Rank #1
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA
0x0c0e...434e Public
- PnL
- $58.51K
- Volume
- $780.26K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $337.34K
- Potential payout
- $429.74K
- Potential profit
- $92.39K
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $6.36K
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $110.96K
- Potential payout
- $111.57K
- Potential profit
- $613.65
- User PnL
- $4.24K
Rank #2
denizz
0xbaa2...2c73 Public @denizz_poly
- PnL
- $41.71K
- Volume
- $60.95K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $262.31K
- Potential payout
- $289.84K
- Potential profit
- $27.53K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $70.71K
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $221.75K
- Potential payout
- $253.42K
- Potential profit
- $31.68K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $52.52K
Rank #3
pilimili
0xd104...acef Public
- PnL
- $16.99K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 57.1%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $593.51K
- Potential payout
- $641.64K
- Potential profit
- $48.12K
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$9.03K
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $36.9K
- Potential payout
- $200K
- Potential profit
- $163.1K
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- $4.6K
Rank #4
makinta
0xc15b...38af Public
- PnL
- $13.3K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 77.6%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $461.95K
- Potential payout
- $499.4K
- Potential profit
- $37.46K
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $24.72K
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $8.05K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $1.95K
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $650
Rank #5
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
0xc8ab...6418 Public @Eltonma
- PnL
- $11.7K
- Volume
- $173.08K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 83.3%
- Current value
- $587.26K
- Potential payout
- $705K
- Potential profit
- $117.73K
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $234.75K
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 16.7%
- Current value
- $116.9K
- Potential payout
- $700K
- Potential profit
- $583.1K
- Multiplier
- 5.99x
- User PnL
- -$233.1K
Rank #6
topdaddy1
0xf020...3212 Public
- PnL
- $11.41K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 11.8%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $111.48K
- Potential payout
- $132.71K
- Potential profit
- $21.23K
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $5.55K
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Current value
- $18.76K
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $1.24K
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $2.24K
Rank #7
ranger44
0x3355...a126 Public
- PnL
- $10.66K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 80.8%
- Open positions
- 2
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $372.03K
- Potential payout
- $402.2K
- Potential profit
- $30.16K
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$3.16K
No position
Iran Nuke before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $50.85
- Potential payout
- $55
- Potential profit
- $4.15
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.07
Rank #8
pup1
0x54b5...4b31 Public
- PnL
- $9.34K
- Volume
- $43.91K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $24.64K
- Potential payout
- $25K
- Potential profit
- $362.5
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $20.74K
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.8%
- Current value
- $6.78K
- Potential payout
- $8K
- Potential profit
- $1.22K
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $852.54
Rank #9
loliti
0xe1e1...d250 Public
- PnL
- $8.22K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 38.9%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $254.59K
- Potential payout
- $275.38K
- Potential profit
- $20.79K
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $12.3K
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.2%
- Current value
- $91.11K
- Potential payout
- $96.77K
- Potential profit
- $5.66K
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$822.53
Rank #10
timmythewhale
0x6000...f302 Public
- PnL
- $7.38K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 28.6%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Current value
- $166.46K
- Potential payout
- $172.05K
- Potential profit
- $5.59K
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $2.23K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $78.41K
- Potential payout
- $99.88K
- Potential profit
- $21.47K
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$2.98K
Rank #11
horizon.
0x9501...8223 Public
- PnL
- $7.01K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 85.7%
- Open positions
- 2
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 83.3%
- Current value
- $8.35M
- Potential payout
- $10.03M
- Potential profit
- $1.67M
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $3.34M
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 16.7%
- Current value
- $1.67M
- Potential payout
- $10.03M
- Potential profit
- $8.35M
- Multiplier
- 5.99x
- User PnL
- -$3.34M
Rank #12
tetrose
0x7447...a16d Public
- PnL
- $5.95K
- Volume
- $6.97K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $67.95K
- Potential payout
- $73.5K
- Potential profit
- $5.55K
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $4.84K
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Current value
- $38.76K
- Potential payout
- $40K
- Potential profit
- $1.24K
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $2.06K
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $337.34K
- Potential payout
- $429.74K
- Potential profit
- $92.39K
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $6.36K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $262.31K
- Potential payout
- $289.84K
- Potential profit
- $27.53K
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $70.71K
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $221.75K
- Potential payout
- $253.42K
- Potential profit
- $31.68K
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $52.52K
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Current value
- $166.46K
- Potential payout
- $172.05K
- Potential profit
- $5.59K
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $2.23K
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $166.23K
- Potential payout
- $316.63K
- Potential profit
- $150.4K
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $70.94K
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $111.48K
- Potential payout
- $132.71K
- Potential profit
- $21.23K
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $5.55K
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