Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $126.86K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.1%
Current value: $170.43K
Potential payout: $850K
Potential profit: $679.58K
Multiplier: 4.99x
User PnL: -$254.57K

If you invest $100 $498.75 back +$398.75 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $399.67K
Potential payout: $695.08K
Potential profit: $295.41K
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $58.87K

If you invest $100 $173.91 back +$73.91 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $683.33K
Potential payout: $854.7K
Potential profit: $171.37K
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $255.27K

If you invest $100 $125.08 back +$25.08 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 11:52 AM

PnL: $21.28K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $399.67K
Potential payout: $695.08K
Potential profit: $295.41K
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $58.87K

If you invest $100 $173.91 back +$73.91 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 87.1%
Current value: $201.99K
Potential payout: $231.9K
Potential profit: $29.92K
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: $4.96K

If you invest $100 $114.81 back +$14.81 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $19.84K
Volume: $12.26K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 37.3%
Current value: $15.24K
Potential payout: $40.91K
Potential profit: $25.67K
Multiplier: 2.68x
User PnL: $9.27K

If you invest $100 $268.46 back +$168.46 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $9.93K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $70
User PnL: $0.01

If you invest $100 $100.7 back +$0.7 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $18.5K
Volume: $20.78K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: $1.1K

If you invest $100 $100.05 back +$0.05 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $8.05K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $1.95K
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: -$150

If you invest $100 $124.22 back +$24.22 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $16.64K
Volume: $712.19K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $342.71K
Potential payout: $442.21K
Potential profit: $99.5K
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $16.79K

If you invest $100 $129.03 back +$29.03 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $276.88K
Potential payout: $320.09K
Potential profit: $43.21K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $50.65K

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $14.26K
Volume: $4.85K
Win rate: 72.2%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $49.97K
Potential payout: $78.69K
Potential profit: $28.72K
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $5.86K

If you invest $100 $157.48 back +$57.48 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $49.48K
Potential payout: $49.8K
Potential profit: $323.7
User PnL: $7.27K

If you invest $100 $100.65 back +$0.65 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $9.78K
Volume: $19.95K
Win rate: 44.4%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $228.04K
Potential payout: $230.81K
Potential profit: $2.77K
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $28.29K

If you invest $100 $101.21 back +$1.21 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $52.13K
Potential payout: $52.47K
Potential profit: $341.04
User PnL: $6.19K

If you invest $100 $100.65 back +$0.65 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $7.91K
Volume: $54.83K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $220.38K
Potential payout: $221.04K
Potential profit: $663.13
User PnL: $2.28K

If you invest $100 $100.3 back +$0.3 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $186.18K
Potential payout: $186.65K
Potential profit: $466.62
User PnL: $2.94K

If you invest $100 $100.25 back +$0.25 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $7.38K
Volume: $2.01K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $16.57K
Potential payout: $18.31K
Potential profit: $1.74K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $1.04K

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $11.47K
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $3.52K
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $1.58K

If you invest $100 $130.72 back +$30.72 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.72K
Volume: $142.33K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $683.33K
Potential payout: $854.7K
Potential profit: $171.37K
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $255.27K

If you invest $100 $125.08 back +$25.08 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.1%
Current value: $170.43K
Potential payout: $850K
Potential profit: $679.58K
Multiplier: 4.99x
User PnL: -$254.57K

If you invest $100 $498.75 back +$398.75 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.55K
Volume: $7.28K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $2.12K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $2.87K
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$624.98

If you invest $100 $235.29 back +$135.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $542.44
Potential payout: $1.08M
Potential profit: $1.08M
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.9K

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $5.48K
Volume: $4.65K
Win rate: 22.2%
Open positions: 3

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $226.89K
Potential payout: $230.58K
Potential profit: $3.69K
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $4.88K

If you invest $100 $101.63 back +$1.63 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $211.84K
Potential payout: $216.27K
Potential profit: $4.43K
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $11.25K

If you invest $100 $102.09 back +$2.09 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.74K
Volume: $12.48K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $138.73K
Potential payout: $181.35K
Potential profit: $42.62K
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $11.07K

If you invest $100 $130.72 back +$30.72 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $131.82K
Potential payout: $229.25K
Potential profit: $97.43K
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $19.95K

If you invest $100 $173.91 back +$73.91 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $276.88K
Potential payout: $320.09K
Potential profit: $43.21K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $50.65K

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $262.31K
Potential payout: $289.84K
Potential profit: $27.53K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $70.71K

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $228.04K
Potential payout: $230.81K
Potential profit: $2.77K
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $28.29K

If you invest $100 $101.21 back +$1.21 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.4%
Current value: $226.89K
Potential payout: $230.58K
Potential profit: $3.69K
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $4.88K

If you invest $100 $101.63 back +$1.63 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $211.84K
Potential payout: $216.27K
Potential profit: $4.43K
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $11.25K

If you invest $100 $102.09 back +$2.09 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $204.05K
Potential payout: $208.32K
Potential profit: $4.27K
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $27.03K

If you invest $100 $102.09 back +$2.09 estimated profit if it wins

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