Yes position
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $7.35K
- Potential payout
- $69.96K
- Potential profit
- $62.61K
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$2.34K
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $71.45K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.3%
- Current value
- $8.21K
- Potential payout
- $61.99K
- Potential profit
- $53.77K
- Multiplier
- 7.55x
- User PnL
- -$814.83
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 33.4%
- Current value
- $21.77K
- Potential payout
- $65.28K
- Potential profit
- $43.51K
- Multiplier
- 3.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.64K
Top Traders
POLITICS leaderboard
Rank #13
0x4207c4f53b785c6dOd48512a497ebd845c29b81b
0x4207...b81b Public
- PnL
- $7.91K
- Volume
- $59.4K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $57.14
- Potential payout
- $457.15
- Potential profit
- $400.01
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $2.29
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $55.78
- Potential payout
- $66.01
- Potential profit
- $10.23
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $1.14
Rank #14
ishouldnot
0x515e...8309 Public
- PnL
- $7.43K
- Volume
- $70.12K
- Win rate
- 68%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Russia coup attempt in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Current value
- $2.19K
- Potential payout
- $2.38K
- Potential profit
- $190.21
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $23.78
No position
Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $2.11K
- Potential payout
- $2.45K
- Potential profit
- $344.3
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $4.2
Rank #15
yuhyuhyuhy352352
0xbd04...fbb0 Public
- PnL
- $7.3K
- Volume
- $22.11K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?
Ends Sep 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 42%
- Current value
- $723.47
- Potential payout
- $1.72K
- Potential profit
- $999.08
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- $241.76
No position
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $721.9
- Potential payout
- $5.35K
- Potential profit
- $4.63K
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $389.85
Rank #16
wan123
0xde7b...5f4b Public
- PnL
- $7.26K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 33.4%
- Current value
- $21.77K
- Potential payout
- $65.28K
- Potential profit
- $43.51K
- Multiplier
- 3.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.64K
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $21.25K
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $28.75K
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$1.75K
Rank #17
Flipadelphia
0x4488...e319 Public
- PnL
- $7.24K
- Volume
- $43.88K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.2%
- Current value
- $988.01
- Potential payout
- $6.5K
- Potential profit
- $5.51K
- Multiplier
- 6.58x
- User PnL
- -$3.61K
Yes position
Will Jamie Davis Jr. be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.8%
- Current value
- $337.87
- Potential payout
- $372.31
- Potential profit
- $34.44
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$22.19
Rank #18
whig
0x40cf...d21d Public
- PnL
- $7.09K
- Volume
- $251.85K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.6%
- Current value
- $2.65K
- Potential payout
- $15.96K
- Potential profit
- $13.31K
- Multiplier
- 6.02x
- User PnL
- $87.79
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $2.55K
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $3.45K
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$209.98
Rank #19
chickendilla
0x0891...508a Public
- PnL
- $7K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 30%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #20
eightpenguins
0x3c59...1766 Public
- PnL
- $6.94K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $1.21K
- Potential payout
- $1.67K
- Potential profit
- $457.88
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $255.86
Yes position
Will Shehbaz Sharif sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $851.07
- Potential payout
- $2.21K
- Potential profit
- $1.36K
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- -$107.6
Rank #21
LlamaLoco0000
0x93fb...3e4a Public @LlamaLoco0000
- PnL
- $6.75K
- Volume
- $3.74K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $9.37K
- Potential payout
- $16.58K
- Potential profit
- $7.21K
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$172.05
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.3%
- Current value
- $8.21K
- Potential payout
- $61.99K
- Potential profit
- $53.77K
- Multiplier
- 7.55x
- User PnL
- -$814.83
Rank #22
0xfcb034ffesa540c89ad3732182f6e0c762feac86
0x17ed...c087 Public
- PnL
- $6.52K
- Volume
- $2.5K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.6%
- Current value
- $272.5
- Potential payout
- $351.38
- Potential profit
- $78.89
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $197.83
Yes position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.1%
- Current value
- $154.47
- Potential payout
- $3.81K
- Potential profit
- $3.66K
- Multiplier
- 24.69x
- User PnL
- -$80.07
Rank #23
NonceChaser
0xb1ca...1705 Public
- PnL
- $6.02K
- Volume
- $151.4K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $17.64K
- Potential payout
- $18.87K
- Potential profit
- $1.23K
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $818.3
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 33.4%
- Current value
- $16.68K
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $33.33K
- Multiplier
- 3.00x
- User PnL
- $16.48K
Rank #24
0xfBd8C9C22cA76B3662d0e53A4f79719FDC684027-1779347618060
0xfbd8...4027 Public
- PnL
- $5.69K
- Volume
- $26.69K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $23.76
- Potential payout
- $47.53K
- Potential profit
- $47.5K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$946.18
Yes position
Will César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $23.76
- Potential payout
- $47.53K
- Potential profit
- $47.5K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$946.18
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
No position
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $17.64K
- Potential payout
- $18.87K
- Potential profit
- $1.23K
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $818.3
Yes position
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $9.37K
- Potential payout
- $16.58K
- Potential profit
- $7.21K
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$172.05
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.3%
- Current value
- $8.21K
- Potential payout
- $61.99K
- Potential profit
- $53.77K
- Multiplier
- 7.55x
- User PnL
- -$814.83
Yes position
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $7.35K
- Potential payout
- $69.96K
- Potential profit
- $62.61K
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$2.34K
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.6%
- Current value
- $2.65K
- Potential payout
- $15.96K
- Potential profit
- $13.31K
- Multiplier
- 6.02x
- User PnL
- $87.79
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $2.55K
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $3.45K
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$209.98
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