Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $34.77K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 7.1%
Current value: $793.33
Potential payout: $11.11K
Potential profit: $10.32K
Multiplier: 14.01x
User PnL: $307.36

If you invest $100 $1.4K back +$1.3K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 13.4%
Current value: $768.48
Potential payout: $5.76K
Potential profit: $4.99K
Multiplier: 7.49x
User PnL: $637.01

If you invest $100 $749.06 back +$649.06 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $725
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.28K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $340.39

If you invest $100 $689.66 back +$589.66 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

POLITICS leaderboard

Updated 8:41 AM

PnL: $4.18K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $4.53K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $475.1
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $1.81K

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $4.13K
Potential payout: $5.13K
Potential profit: $1K
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $390.64

If you invest $100 $124.22 back +$24.22 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.17K
Volume: $5.87K
Win rate: 54%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $4.16K
Volume: $4.65K
Open positions: 3

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $15.1K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $4.9K
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $300

If you invest $100 $132.45 back +$32.45 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $9.76K
Potential payout: $9.99K
Potential profit: $234.85
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $164.9

If you invest $100 $102.41 back +$2.41 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $4.01K
Volume: $97.02K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $13.73K
Potential payout: $17.49K
Potential profit: $3.76K
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: -$462.46

If you invest $100 $127.39 back +$27.39 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $13.13K
Potential payout: $15.18K
Potential profit: $2.05K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $1.9K

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $3.98K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 59.6%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $3.02K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 64.3%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $2.87K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 2

Iraq position

Spread: Norway (-1.5)

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $20K
User PnL: -$8K

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 12?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.65K
Potential profit: $1.65K
User PnL: -$411.8

PnL: $2.82K
Volume: $118.37K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $725
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.28K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $340.39

If you invest $100 $689.66 back +$589.66 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $705.66
Potential payout: $128.3K
Potential profit: $127.6K
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: $23.22

If you invest $100 $18.18K back +$18.08K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.8K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.15K
Potential payout: $1.15K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $651.39

If you invest $100 $100 back +$0 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $1.15K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $850
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: $200

If you invest $100 $173.91 back +$73.91 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.75K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 7.1%
Current value: $793.33
Potential payout: $11.11K
Potential profit: $10.32K
Multiplier: 14.01x
User PnL: $307.36

If you invest $100 $1.4K back +$1.3K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 13.4%
Current value: $768.48
Potential payout: $5.76K
Potential profit: $4.99K
Multiplier: 7.49x
User PnL: $637.01

If you invest $100 $749.06 back +$649.06 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.52K
Volume: $29.87K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Canada be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 84.2%
Current value: $2.39K
Potential payout: $2.84K
Potential profit: $449.36
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: $60.06

If you invest $100 $118.84 back +$18.84 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Mexico be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $2.32K
Potential payout: $3.43K
Potential profit: $1.12K
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $332.34

If you invest $100 $148.15 back +$48.15 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $2.46K
Volume: $1.11K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $58.85
Potential payout: $1.1K
Potential profit: $1.04K
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: -$1.25

If you invest $100 $1.87K back +$1.77K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 10%
Current value: $50
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $450
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: -$80

If you invest $100 $1K back +$900 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $13.12K
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $1.87K
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$598.83

If you invest $100 $114.29 back +$14.29 estimated profit if it wins

No position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $9.76K
Potential payout: $9.99K
Potential profit: $234.85
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $164.9

If you invest $100 $102.41 back +$2.41 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $9.58K
Potential payout: $10.04K
Potential profit: $456.84
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $1.2K

If you invest $100 $104.77 back +$4.77 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $4.53K
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $475.1
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $1.81K

If you invest $100 $110.5 back +$10.5 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $4.13K
Potential payout: $5.13K
Potential profit: $1K
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $390.64

If you invest $100 $124.22 back +$24.22 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $3.53K
Potential payout: $3.74K
Potential profit: $205.7
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $1.07K

If you invest $100 $105.82 back +$5.82 estimated profit if it wins

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