Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $192.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.81K
- Multiplier
- 25.97x
- User PnL
- -$607.95
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $9.73K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
Yes position
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $287.52
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.21K
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$87.51
Yes position
Will Mateus Simões win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.2%
- Current value
- $71.59
- Potential payout
- $586.82
- Potential profit
- $515.23
- Multiplier
- 8.20x
- User PnL
- $17.82
Top Traders
POLITICS leaderboard
Rank #49
th2
0xa163...de8d Public
- PnL
- $1.02K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #50
0xD16549D30E89329487178D4346E7d448aF3df2b8-1769754237810
0xd165...f2b8 Public
- PnL
- $1K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #51
DOF2
0xd2cb...b9ea Public
- PnL
- $1K
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #52
BTCGambler247
0x31c5...ede4 Public
- PnL
- $994.03
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Kamala Harris announce a 2028 run for President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $163.68
- Potential payout
- $165
- Potential profit
- $1.32
- User PnL
- $14.85
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $152.25
- Potential payout
- $210
- Potential profit
- $57.75
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $49.35
Rank #53
Inhabit
0x2b86...2dc8 Public
- PnL
- $990.71
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #54
0x2b670A311561DcAF741D8155451774D3Fa7fb814-1778467735876
0x2b67...b814 Public
- PnL
- $964.06
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #55
aenews2
0x44c1...ebc1 Public @aenews
- PnL
- $955.75
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.7%
- Current value
- $333.67
- Potential payout
- $909.18
- Potential profit
- $575.51
- Multiplier
- 2.72x
- User PnL
- -$75.05
Yes position
Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47%
- Current value
- $312.86
- Potential payout
- $665.66
- Potential profit
- $352.8
- Multiplier
- 2.13x
- User PnL
- $139.79
Rank #56
hose
0xcc29...7774 Public @funkingbtc
- PnL
- $954.01
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #57
Rex416
0x9a3f...914a Public
- PnL
- $929.33
- Volume
- $3.39K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $208.55
- Potential payout
- $970
- Potential profit
- $761.45
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$65.68
Y
Yes position
Will 3+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $196.23
- Potential payout
- $249.97
- Potential profit
- $53.74
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$31.25
Rank #58
momom
0x3c8a...b45a Public
- PnL
- $917.18
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #59
emoney
0x4483...c565 Public
- PnL
- $838.06
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Over position
Minaur vs. Mensik: Match O/U 36.5
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $210.08
- Potential profit
- $210.08
- User PnL
- -$100
Golden Knights position
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $974.15
- Potential profit
- $974.15
- User PnL
- -$467.59
Rank #60
NIKEa
0x1229...df38 Public
- PnL
- $828.48
- Volume
- $12.71K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the August meeting?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $84.23
- Potential payout
- $85.25
- Potential profit
- $1.02
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $3.24
No position
AI bubble burst in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $76.63
- Potential payout
- $92.94
- Potential profit
- $16.31
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $3.9
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
Yes position
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $208.55
- Potential payout
- $970
- Potential profit
- $761.45
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$65.68
Y
Yes position
Will 3+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $196.23
- Potential payout
- $249.97
- Potential profit
- $53.74
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$31.25
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $192.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.81K
- Multiplier
- 25.97x
- User PnL
- -$607.95
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72.5%
- Current value
- $152.25
- Potential payout
- $210
- Potential profit
- $57.75
- Multiplier
- 1.38x
- User PnL
- $49.35
No position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $136.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $163.5
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- -$43.5
No position
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 50+ bps at the August meeting?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $84.23
- Potential payout
- $85.25
- Potential profit
- $1.02
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $3.24
Market Context
Live markets traders may be watching
Market Live
Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?
Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?
Yes4% No96.1%
Market Live
Will Trump pardon Martin Shkreli before 2027?
Will Trump pardon Martin Shkreli before 2027?
Yes7% No93%
Market Live
Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027?
Will Trump pardon Do Kwon before 2027?
Yes4.9% No95.1%
Market Live
Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin before 2027?
Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin before 2027?
Yes6.1% No94%
Market Live
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?
Yes8.2% No91.8%
Market Live
Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027?
Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027?
Yes13% No87%