Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $214.32 TECH · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $813.4
Potential payout: $3.07K
Potential profit: $2.26K
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$635.39

If you invest $100 $377.36 back +$277.36 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

US x Cuba military clash in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 37%
Current value: $926.73
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $1.58K
Multiplier: 2.70x
User PnL: -$274.51

If you invest $100 $270.27 back +$170.27 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $346.27
Potential payout: $854.99
Potential profit: $508.72
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $21.37

If you invest $100 $246.91 back +$146.91 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

TECH leaderboard

Updated 1:14 AM

PnL: $33.8
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $4.24K
Potential payout: $5.26K
Potential profit: $1.03K
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $236.25

If you invest $100 $124.22 back +$24.22 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Tucker Carlson federally charged?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $3.69K
Potential payout: $3.71K
Potential profit: $26
User PnL: $213.88

If you invest $100 $100.7 back +$0.7 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $31.53
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Current value: $394.19
Potential payout: $440.43
Potential profit: $46.25
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $103.5

If you invest $100 $111.73 back +$11.73 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $346.27
Potential payout: $854.99
Potential profit: $508.72
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: $21.37

If you invest $100 $246.91 back +$146.91 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $26.08
Volume: $1.25K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $814.75
Potential payout: $831.38
Potential profit: $16.63
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $154.81

If you invest $100 $102.04 back +$2.04 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81.1%
Current value: $726.92
Potential payout: $896.32
Potential profit: $169.4
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $69.96

If you invest $100 $123.3 back +$23.3 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $22.67
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 17, 2026?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $404.04
Potential payout: $573.11
Potential profit: $169.07
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: $49.64

If you invest $100 $141.84 back +$41.84 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $357.69
Potential payout: $708.3
Potential profit: $350.61
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: -$97.91

If you invest $100 $198.02 back +$98.02 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $20.84
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.3%
Current value: $10.25
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $89.75
Multiplier: 9.76x
User PnL: -$0.75

If you invest $100 $975.61 back +$875.61 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $10.1
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $189.9
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: -$1.7

If you invest $100 $1.98K back +$1.88K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $19.5
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $15.51
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $976.75
Potential payout: $1.07K
Potential profit: $90.74
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $317.54

If you invest $100 $109.29 back +$9.29 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

US x Cuba military clash in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 37%
Current value: $926.73
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $1.58K
Multiplier: 2.70x
User PnL: -$274.51

If you invest $100 $270.27 back +$170.27 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $15.46
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 48.2%
Current value: $48.15
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $51.84
Multiplier: 2.08x
User PnL: -$26.95

If you invest $100 $207.68 back +$107.68 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $48.1
Potential payout: $260
Potential profit: $211.9
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $8.7

If you invest $100 $540.54 back +$440.54 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $14.5
Volume: $0
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $14.42
Volume: $0
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.48K
Potential profit: $10.48K
User PnL: -$181.38

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.27K
Potential profit: $4.27K
User PnL: -$164.34

PnL: $14.3
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $492.52
Potential payout: $494
Potential profit: $1.48
User PnL: $141.78

If you invest $100 $100.3 back +$0.3 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $492
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $108
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $152

If you invest $100 $121.95 back +$21.95 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $13.36
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $9.99
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $1.88

If you invest $100 $100.15 back +$0.15 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $2
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $798
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$70

If you invest $100 $40K back +$39.9K estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

Yes position

US x Cuba military clash in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 37%
Current value: $926.73
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $1.58K
Multiplier: 2.70x
User PnL: -$274.51

If you invest $100 $270.27 back +$170.27 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $814.75
Potential payout: $831.38
Potential profit: $16.63
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $154.81

If you invest $100 $102.04 back +$2.04 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $813.4
Potential payout: $3.07K
Potential profit: $2.26K
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$635.39

If you invest $100 $377.36 back +$277.36 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81.1%
Current value: $726.92
Potential payout: $896.32
Potential profit: $169.4
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $69.96

If you invest $100 $123.3 back +$23.3 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $492
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $108
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $152

If you invest $100 $121.95 back +$21.95 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Wisconsin use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $438.75
Potential payout: $467
Potential profit: $28.25
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $51.14

If you invest $100 $106.44 back +$6.44 estimated profit if it wins

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