No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Current value
- $16.05K
- Potential payout
- $58.37K
- Potential profit
- $42.32K
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- -$229.92
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $1.3K TECH · DAY · PnL sorted
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
No position
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $192.6
- Potential payout
- $1.83K
- Potential profit
- $1.64K
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$559.45
Yes position
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.9%
- Current value
- $16K
- Potential payout
- $18K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $1.04K
Top Traders
TECH leaderboard
Rank #13
yen4u
0xf0d5...c665 Public
- PnL
- $153.36
- Volume
- $31.08K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $214.74
- Potential payout
- $270.11
- Potential profit
- $55.37
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $51.03
No position
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $192.6
- Potential payout
- $1.83K
- Potential profit
- $1.64K
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$559.45
Rank #14
Orion96
0x3069...f8ef Public
- PnL
- $150.56
- Volume
- $120
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will SpaceX have exactly 11 launches in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $1.02K
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $76.92
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $21.98
Yes position
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Current value
- $960.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $39.5
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $60.5
Rank #15
grapygroyp
0x41f3...6202 Public
- PnL
- $138.82
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 2
Yes position
Houthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $314.36
- Potential profit
- $314.36
- User PnL
- -$116
Yes position
Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.33K
- Potential profit
- $1.33K
- User PnL
- -$24
Rank #16
cosmicsteaks
0xf4f8...5bf1 Public
- PnL
- $138.61
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Blake Miguez be the Republican nominee for LA-05?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $178.64
- Potential payout
- $204.16
- Potential profit
- $25.52
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $61.98
Yes position
Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $157.53
- Potential payout
- $178
- Potential profit
- $20.47
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $45.23
Rank #17
4e2fbc2acf
0x1bfd...40d0 Public
- PnL
- $135.82
- Volume
- $45
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #18
kl1v
0x5999...ae94 Public
- PnL
- $130.29
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.76K
- Potential profit
- $1.76K
- User PnL
- -$946.18
Yes position
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $707.9
- Potential profit
- $707.9
- User PnL
- -$184.35
Rank #19
ArmageddonRewardsBilly
0xc8ab...6418 Public @Eltonma
- PnL
- $126.56
- Volume
- $1.29K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $16.06K
- Potential payout
- $17K
- Potential profit
- $934.75
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $453.98
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Current value
- $16.05K
- Potential payout
- $58.37K
- Potential profit
- $42.32K
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- -$229.92
Rank #20
The-Joker
0x9aeb...2729 Public @Joker_Poly
- PnL
- $122.11
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $367.24
- Potential payout
- $414.96
- Potential profit
- $47.72
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $105.8
Yes position
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 76%
- Current value
- $341.19
- Potential payout
- $448.94
- Potential profit
- $107.75
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $177.53
Rank #21
d85jg3979
0xd6ec...2ecb Public
- PnL
- $100.03
- Volume
- $1.98K
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #22
HerrieDavis
0xac4a...bf1e Public
- PnL
- $99.43
- Volume
- $1.46K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.3%
- Current value
- $2.67K
- Potential payout
- $2.86K
- Potential profit
- $191.8
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $28.92
Yes position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 95.1%
- Current value
- $2.16K
- Potential payout
- $2.27K
- Potential profit
- $112.31
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $107.84
Rank #23
tobiasschwarz
0xc8e8...d739 Public
- PnL
- $93.44
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #24
0xe617...f251
0xe617...f251 Public
- PnL
- $89.52
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $1.64K
- Potential payout
- $1.9K
- Potential profit
- $256.33
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $142.41
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,900 (LOW) in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $1.53K
- Potential payout
- $1.6K
- Potential profit
- $63.94
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $34.67
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
No position
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.3%
- Current value
- $2.67K
- Potential payout
- $2.86K
- Potential profit
- $191.8
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $28.92
Yes position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 95.1%
- Current value
- $2.16K
- Potential payout
- $2.27K
- Potential profit
- $112.31
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $107.84
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.9%
- Current value
- $2.13K
- Potential payout
- $2.32K
- Potential profit
- $187.6
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $471.65
Yes position
Will Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $1.64K
- Potential payout
- $1.9K
- Potential profit
- $256.33
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $142.41
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,900 (LOW) in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $1.53K
- Potential payout
- $1.6K
- Potential profit
- $63.94
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $34.67
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $1.5K
- Potential payout
- $1.65K
- Potential profit
- $148.38
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.29
Market Context
Live markets traders may be watching
Market Live
Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?
Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?
Yes6.6% No93.4%
Market Live
Will Hillary Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Will Hillary Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Yes4.6% No95.5%
Market Live
Will Steve Bannon announce a presidential run before 2027?
Will Steve Bannon announce a presidential run before 2027?
Yes12.5% No87.5%
Market Live
Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
Yes10.8% No89.3%
Market Live
Will JAY-Z release a new song in 2026?
Will JAY-Z release a new song in 2026?
Yes78% No22%
Market Live
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?
Yes18.2% No81.8%
Market Live
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Yes16.1% No84%
Market Live
Will the Democratic Party win the NH-01 House seat?
Will the Democratic Party win the NH-01 House seat?
Yes86.4% No13.6%
Market Live
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Yes29% No71%
Market Live
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?
Yes78% No22%
Market Live
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Yes8.8% No91.3%
Market Live
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
Yes16% No84%