Polymarket Traders Copy

Top trader positions, sized for your budget

Name: TokensHive Polymarket Trader Intelligence
Creator: TokensHive
Keywords: polymarket traders, prediction market intelligence, leaderboard, open positions

Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.

Top 10 PnL on this page $622.22 TECH · DAY · PnL sorted

Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.

OVERALL POLITICS SPORTS CRYPTO CULTURE MENTIONS WEATHER ECONOMICS TECH FINANCE

DAY WEEK MONTH ALL PnL Volume

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Best Deal To Inspect First

Top trader-backed deals

Modeled from $100

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $40.73
Potential payout: $3.02K
Potential profit: $2.98K
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$919.97

If you invest $100 $7.41K back +$7.31K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 3.3%
Current value: $10.89
Potential payout: $330.04
Potential profit: $319.14
Multiplier: 30.30x
User PnL: -$64.03

If you invest $100 $3.03K back +$2.93K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $117
Potential payout: $900
Potential profit: $783
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: -$105.64

If you invest $100 $769.23 back +$669.23 estimated profit if it wins

Top Traders

TECH leaderboard

Updated 3:25 AM

PnL: $72.9
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.17K
Potential profit: $1.17K
User PnL: -$566.49

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$24

PnL: $69.32
Volume: $0
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $67.41
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $66.02
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will England be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $484.9
Potential payout: $560.57
Potential profit: $75.68
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $19.39

If you invest $100 $115.61 back +$15.61 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Japan reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 95.3%
Current value: $476.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $23.75
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $4.25

If you invest $100 $104.99 back +$4.99 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $61.85
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will "Bangaranga - DARA" be the song of the summer?

Ends Sep 1, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $199.8
Potential payout: $202.74
Potential profit: $2.94
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $2.61

If you invest $100 $101.47 back +$1.47 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the second best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.8%
Current value: $196.29
Potential payout: $205
Potential profit: $8.71
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $189.22

If you invest $100 $104.44 back +$4.44 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $60.25
Volume: $0
Open positions: 1

PnL: $58.72
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

PnL: $55.86
Volume: $192
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Is Earth flat?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $62.5
Potential payout: $64
Potential profit: $1.5
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.42

If you invest $100 $102.41 back +$2.41 estimated profit if it wins

OpenAI position

Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $61.94
Potential payout: $288.07
Potential profit: $226.14
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$4.64

If you invest $100 $465.12 back +$365.12 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $55.27
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $43
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $157
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$65

If you invest $100 $465.12 back +$365.12 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $40.73
Potential payout: $3.02K
Potential profit: $2.98K
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$919.97

If you invest $100 $7.41K back +$7.31K estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $54.62
Volume: $150
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will James Comey be arrested before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 15.2%
Current value: $11.88
Potential payout: $78.41
Potential profit: $66.53
Multiplier: 6.60x
User PnL: -$5.37

If you invest $100 $660.07 back +$560.07 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $11.6
Potential payout: $15.78
Potential profit: $4.18
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $7.81

If you invest $100 $136.05 back +$36.05 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $53.96
Volume: $564.33
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

Yes position

Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.85
Potential payout: $1.69K
Potential profit: $1.69K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$88.22

If you invest $100 $200K back +$199.9K estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Tyrell Fortune be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 32.7%
Current value: $0.81
Potential payout: $2.49
Potential profit: $1.68
Multiplier: 3.06x
User PnL: $0.68

If you invest $100 $306.28 back +$206.28 estimated profit if it wins

PnL: $51.2
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 3

No position

Will Shelley Hughes advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 94.9%
Current value: $118.56
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $6.44
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $8.56

If you invest $100 $105.43 back +$5.43 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Ends Oct 27, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $117.95
Potential payout: $548.59
Potential profit: $430.64
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$36.18

If you invest $100 $465.12 back +$365.12 estimated profit if it wins

More Signals

Other positions top users are holding

No position

Will "Bangaranga - DARA" be the song of the summer?

Ends Sep 1, 2026

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $199.8
Potential payout: $202.74
Potential profit: $2.94
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $2.61

If you invest $100 $101.47 back +$1.47 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the second best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.8%
Current value: $196.29
Potential payout: $205
Potential profit: $8.71
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $189.22

If you invest $100 $104.44 back +$4.44 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Netherlands be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $190.59
Potential payout: $508.25
Potential profit: $317.65
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: $2.54

If you invest $100 $266.67 back +$166.67 estimated profit if it wins

No position

Will Shelley Hughes advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 94.9%
Current value: $118.56
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $6.44
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $8.56

If you invest $100 $105.43 back +$5.43 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Ends Oct 27, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $117.95
Potential payout: $548.59
Potential profit: $430.64
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$36.18

If you invest $100 $465.12 back +$365.12 estimated profit if it wins

Yes position

Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $117
Potential payout: $900
Potential profit: $783
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: -$105.64

If you invest $100 $769.23 back +$669.23 estimated profit if it wins

Market Context

Live markets traders may be watching

Browse all markets

Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?

Yes11.5% No88.5%

Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?

Yes18.5% No81.5%

Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?

Yes42.5% No57.5%

Will Solana reach $400 by December 31, 2026?

Yes3.1% No97%