Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $479.18
- Potential payout
- $73.72K
- Potential profit
- $73.24K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$2.03K
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $12.96K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted
Risk notice: Prediction markets and crypto assets are high-risk. TokensHive provides public market data and trader-intelligence tools for informational purposes only; this is not financial advice, outcomes are not guaranteed, and positions can lose value.
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
Yes position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $383.6
- Potential payout
- $19.18K
- Potential profit
- $18.8K
- Multiplier
- 50.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.43K
Y
Yes position
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.8%
- Current value
- $812.87
- Potential payout
- $5.51K
- Potential profit
- $4.7K
- Multiplier
- 6.78x
- User PnL
- -$462.19
Top Traders
POLITICS leaderboard
Rank #49
Amrosein
0x706c...a94b Public
- PnL
- $1.36K
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #50
melonmanm
0x0787...0ca3 Public
- PnL
- $1.35K
- Volume
- $5.09K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Qatar sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $10.79
- Potential payout
- $10.9
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.98
N
No position
Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $9.78
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.22
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $6.48
Rank #51
881112
0xd426...334a Public
- PnL
- $1.34K
- Volume
- $2.85K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $700
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $189
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $689.59
- Potential payout
- $690.97
- Potential profit
- $1.38
- User PnL
- $116.08
Rank #52
archaic
0x1f0a...f7aa Public @archaic_on_Poly
- PnL
- $1.32K
- Volume
- $13.36K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $810.75
- Potential payout
- $857.94
- Potential profit
- $47.19
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $5.85
No position
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.4%
- Current value
- $788.5
- Potential payout
- $881.99
- Potential profit
- $93.49
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $6.57
Rank #53
dee0ne
0xb12d...26d1 Public
- PnL
- $1.32K
- Volume
- $200
- Win rate
- 84%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #54
OverlookHotel
0x1d37...f4a4 Public
- PnL
- $1.29K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #55
anoin123
0x9648...6825 Public
- PnL
- $1.27K
- Volume
- $66.72K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $480.78
- Potential payout
- $482.71
- Potential profit
- $1.93
- User PnL
- $0.97
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $479.18
- Potential payout
- $73.72K
- Potential profit
- $73.24K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$2.03K
Rank #56
Cadabra
0xc65e...1502 Public
- PnL
- $1.27K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 14.7%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #57
Warren-Buffett
0x4478...02a4 Public
- PnL
- $1.22K
- Volume
- $24.89K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $854.2
- Potential payout
- $858.06
- Potential profit
- $3.86
- User PnL
- $176.39
Y
Yes position
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.8%
- Current value
- $812.87
- Potential payout
- $5.51K
- Potential profit
- $4.7K
- Multiplier
- 6.78x
- User PnL
- -$462.19
Rank #58
0xdamocles
0xf5c4...0926 Public
- PnL
- $1.21K
- Volume
- $493.11
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #59
tdrhrhhd
0xd7f8...89e4 Public @fortaellinger
- PnL
- $1.19K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #60
jakebet
0xe744...f96e Public
- PnL
- $1.18K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
No position
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.1%
- Current value
- $760.8
- Potential payout
- $854.35
- Potential profit
- $93.55
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$10.95
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $634.91
- Potential payout
- $887.99
- Potential profit
- $253.08
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $111
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $479.18
- Potential payout
- $73.72K
- Potential profit
- $73.24K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$2.03K
Yes position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $383.6
- Potential payout
- $19.18K
- Potential profit
- $18.8K
- Multiplier
- 50.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.43K
No position
Will Qatar sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $10.79
- Potential payout
- $10.9
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.98
N
No position
Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $9.78
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.22
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $6.48
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