Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $3.81K
- Potential payout
- $150K
- Potential profit
- $146.19K
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- $60
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $67.5K POLITICS · DAY · PnL sorted
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.7%
- Current value
- $299.32
- Potential payout
- $3.89K
- Potential profit
- $3.59K
- Multiplier
- 12.99x
- User PnL
- -$1.2K
Yes position
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $950
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $150
Top Traders
POLITICS leaderboard
Rank #25
woshiLimpeh
0x2e4d...f703 Public @UatKeeh
- PnL
- $7.16K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #26
timmythewhale
0x6000...f302 Public
- PnL
- $7.14K
- Volume
- $14.17K
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #27
troim
0x4a2b...af20 Public
- PnL
- $7.03K
- Volume
- $48.92K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $1.21K
- Potential payout
- $1.6K
- Potential profit
- $392
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $308
Yes position
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 56%
- Current value
- $1.12K
- Potential payout
- $2.01K
- Potential profit
- $882.64
- Multiplier
- 1.79x
- User PnL
- $50.03
Rank #28
ImJustKen
0x9d84...1344 Verified @Domahhhh
- PnL
- $6.99K
- Volume
- $17.53K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $3.81K
- Potential payout
- $150K
- Potential profit
- $146.19K
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- $60
No position
Stripe IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $3.8K
- Potential payout
- $4.15K
- Potential profit
- $352.96
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $337.38
Rank #29
Flipadelphia
0x4488...e319 Public
- PnL
- $6.99K
- Volume
- $13.49K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #30
0xefce...4e4a
0xefce...4e4a Public
- PnL
- $6.86K
- Volume
- $2.73K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $383.65
- Potential payout
- $384.61
- Potential profit
- $0.96
- User PnL
- $89.54
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.7%
- Current value
- $299.32
- Potential payout
- $3.89K
- Potential profit
- $3.59K
- Multiplier
- 12.99x
- User PnL
- -$1.2K
Rank #31
y22
0x2225...24d1 Public
- PnL
- $6.84K
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #32
Cadabra
0xc65e...1502 Public
- PnL
- $6.23K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 58%
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #33
98better
0xa8a9...bb81 Public
- PnL
- $6.15K
- Volume
- $256.92K
- Open positions
- 1
Rank #34
whig
0x40cf...d21d Public
- PnL
- $6.11K
- Volume
- $25.62K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $950
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $150
No position
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $925
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $75
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $105
Rank #35
aHjCz
0x2b59...9db6 Public
- PnL
- $6.1K
- Volume
- $25.32K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-04-12?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 42%
- Current value
- $20
- Potential payout
- $47.61
- Potential profit
- $27.61
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- $9.52
Yes position
Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 47.8%
- Current value
- $19.93
- Potential payout
- $41.7
- Potential profit
- $21.77
- Multiplier
- 2.09x
- User PnL
- $7.88
Rank #36
pilimili
0xd104...acef Public
- PnL
- $6.1K
- Volume
- $0
- Open positions
- 1
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
No position
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $1.21K
- Potential payout
- $1.6K
- Potential profit
- $392
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $308
Yes position
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 56%
- Current value
- $1.12K
- Potential payout
- $2.01K
- Potential profit
- $882.64
- Multiplier
- 1.79x
- User PnL
- $50.03
No position
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $994.78
- Potential payout
- $1.24K
- Potential profit
- $248.69
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $441.5
Yes position
US x Cuba military clash in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $950
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $150
No position
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $925
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $75
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $105
Yes position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 61%
- Current value
- $821.93
- Potential payout
- $1.35K
- Potential profit
- $525.49
- Multiplier
- 1.64x
- User PnL
- -$40.71
Market Context
Live markets traders may be watching
Market Live
Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
Yes10.6% No89.4%
Market Live
New COVID variant of concern before 2027?
New COVID variant of concern before 2027?
Yes18.5% No81.5%
Market Live
Natural Disaster in 2026?
Natural Disaster in 2026?
Yes23% No77%
Market Live
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Dec 31, 2026
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Yes19% No81%
Market Live
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?
Yes50.5% No49.5%
Market Live
Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
Yes17.1% No82.9%
Market Live
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
Yes70.5% No29.5%
Market Live
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.0m & 4.2m square kilometers?
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.0m & 4.2m square kilometers?
Yes26.8% No73.2%
Market Live
100kt meteor strike in 2026?
100kt meteor strike in 2026?
Yes6.1% No93.9%
Market Live
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Dec 31, 2026
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Yes8% No92%
Market Live
Human moon landing in 2026?
Human moon landing in 2026?
Yes2.9% No97.2%
Market Live
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
Yes12.5% No87.5%