Yes position
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $4.26K
- Potential payout
- $189.51K
- Potential profit
- $185.25K
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- -$1.18K
Polymarket Traders Copy
Top trader positions, sized for your budget
Pick an amount, scan the deals, and open the traders behind them.
Top 10 PnL on this page $7.12K WEATHER · DAY · PnL sorted
Best Deal To Inspect First
Top trader-backed deals
Yes position
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $2.45K
- Potential payout
- $148.36K
- Potential profit
- $145.91K
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$471.34
Yes position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 45.5%
- Current value
- $45.96K
- Potential payout
- $101.01K
- Potential profit
- $55.05K
- Multiplier
- 2.20x
- User PnL
- $10.18K
Top Traders
WEATHER leaderboard
Rank #1
Blind Chicken
0x542a...a81b Public
- PnL
- $1.38K
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $4.26K
- Potential payout
- $189.51K
- Potential profit
- $185.25K
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- -$1.18K
Yes position
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $2.45K
- Potential payout
- $148.36K
- Potential profit
- $145.91K
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$471.34
Rank #2
0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495
0xc7d0...1f8a Public
- PnL
- $782.38
- Volume
- $14.8K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $3.08K
- Potential payout
- $3.08K
- Potential profit
- $1.54
- User PnL
- $581.47
No position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $2.72K
- Potential payout
- $2.79K
- Potential profit
- $78.26
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $55.56
Rank #3
Orion96
0x3069...f8ef Public
- PnL
- $781.72
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $16.23K
- Potential payout
- $17.73K
- Potential profit
- $1.51K
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $2.26K
No position
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $4.62K
- Potential payout
- $5.22K
- Potential profit
- $600.45
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $212.38
Rank #4
anon.1980.123
0x4699...e03c Public
- PnL
- $711.45
- Volume
- $14.28K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.7%
- Current value
- $6.92K
- Potential payout
- $7.38K
- Potential profit
- $468.91
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $47.87
No position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $4.96K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $37.5
- User PnL
- $176.71
Rank #5
jonnyquakes
0x2480...3c00 Public
- PnL
- $692.86
- Volume
- $1.11K
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $1.63K
- Potential payout
- $2.7K
- Potential profit
- $1.07K
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$364.5
No position
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $605
- Potential payout
- $1.22K
- Potential profit
- $617.22
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- -$437.3
Rank #6
0x5FfeA747575581E8d2Dc5E23C47aB98C1638e48b-1777529589397
0x5ffe...e48b Public
- PnL
- $615.45
- Volume
- $3.69K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.93K
- Potential payout
- $2.93K
- Potential profit
- $1.47
- User PnL
- $79.61
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.16K
- Potential payout
- $2.16K
- Potential profit
- $1.08
- User PnL
- $20.85
Rank #7
GummiMummi
0x0e8d...dfcc Public
- PnL
- $567.74
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $177
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $23
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $5
Yes position
Will Wesley Hunt win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
Ends Sep 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $950
- Potential profit
- $950
- User PnL
- -$38.59
Rank #8
theo5
0x8a4c...532b Public
- PnL
- $551.46
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 60%
- Current value
- $64.17K
- Potential payout
- $106.95K
- Potential profit
- $42.78K
- Multiplier
- 1.67x
- User PnL
- $16.92K
Yes position
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Current value
- $49.51K
- Potential payout
- $100.02K
- Potential profit
- $50.51K
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $1.51K
Rank #9
fortniteplayer
0x5647...de1d Public
- PnL
- $522.35
- Volume
- $1.13K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $280.69
- Potential payout
- $282.53
- Potential profit
- $1.84
- User PnL
- $214.69
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $269.83
- Potential payout
- $270.23
- Potential profit
- $0.41
- User PnL
- $236.83
Rank #10
Lex-tang
0xaa93...0bc7 Public @lex_tang
- PnL
- $516.04
- Volume
- $2.04K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $307.91
- Potential payout
- $308.84
- Potential profit
- $0.93
- User PnL
- $254.41
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $136.28
- Potential payout
- $139.99
- Potential profit
- $3.71
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $95.18
Rank #11
zubbybadger
0x32e3...d066 Public
- PnL
- $499.99
- Volume
- $0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
Yes position
"One Battle After Another" Rotten Tomatoes score is 95 or higher?
Ends Sep 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5.2
- Potential payout
- $5.2
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $4.42
Rank #12
pedrobueno
0x17e0...fe5b Public
- PnL
- $490.11
- Volume
- $7.22K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $3.14K
- Potential payout
- $3.23K
- Potential profit
- $92.16
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $142.42
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $1.14K
- Potential payout
- $2.17K
- Potential profit
- $1.03K
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- $190.56
More Signals
Other positions top users are holding
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $16.23K
- Potential payout
- $17.73K
- Potential profit
- $1.51K
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $2.26K
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.7%
- Current value
- $6.92K
- Potential payout
- $7.38K
- Potential profit
- $468.91
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $47.87
No position
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $4.62K
- Potential payout
- $5.22K
- Potential profit
- $600.45
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $212.38
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $4.42K
- Potential payout
- $4.59K
- Potential profit
- $172.07
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$94.97
Yes position
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $4.26K
- Potential payout
- $189.51K
- Potential profit
- $185.25K
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- -$1.18K
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $3.14K
- Potential payout
- $3.23K
- Potential profit
- $92.16
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $142.42
Market Context
Live markets traders may be watching
Market Live
Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
Yes10.6% No89.4%
Market Live
New COVID variant of concern before 2027?
New COVID variant of concern before 2027?
Yes18.5% No81.5%
Market Live
Natural Disaster in 2026?
Natural Disaster in 2026?
Yes22.5% No77.5%
Market Live
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Dec 31, 2026
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Yes18% No82%
Market Live
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?
Yes50.5% No49.5%
Market Live
Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
Yes17.6% No82.4%
Market Live
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
Yes71% No29%
Market Live
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.0m & 4.2m square kilometers?
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.0m & 4.2m square kilometers?
Yes27.1% No73%
Market Live
100kt meteor strike in 2026?
100kt meteor strike in 2026?
Yes6.1% No93.9%
Market Live
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Dec 31, 2026
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Yes8% No92%
Market Live
Human moon landing in 2026?
Human moon landing in 2026?
Yes2.9% No97.2%
Market Live
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
Yes12.5% No87.5%